Leicester vs Peterborough prediction: Leicester to win
The model lands a Leicester win in 64% of simulations. Leicester carry a 4-match unbeaten sequence (WWDW); Peterborough's recent sample is poor: LLL. Price check: 1.55 is close to fair.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
Leicester are clear favourites at 64% – the ratings gap plus home advantage does the work. Table: Leicester 10th (19 pts), Peterborough 22nd (10 pts).
Recent form
The last six for Leicester read L W D W L W (three wins). Most recent: at Stevenage, 1–2 (lost). Output is high: 2.3 goals a game across the sample.
Peterborough – sample of six: W L W L D D, with two wins. Most recent: v Ipswich Town U21, 4–1 (won). Goals for and against: 1.8 and 1.5 a game. Zero clean sheets across the sample.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Leicester 1.7, Peterborough 0.7 – 2.5 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 45%, BTTS 58%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Leicester to win – Mind Score 64, bookmaker price around 1.55 against a fair 1.56. Likeliest score: Leicester 1–0 Peterborough. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Leicester
last 6- L@ Stevenage1–26 Oct
- Wv Fulham U216–122 Sep
- D@ Barnsley1–119 Sep
- W@ Stockport County4–312 Sep
- Lv Oxford United0–45 Sep
- Wv Plymouth2–01 Sep
Peterborough
last 6- Wv Ipswich Town U214–16 Oct
- L@ Stockport County0–126 Sep
- Wv Colchester3–122 Sep
- Lv Doncaster0–219 Sep
- Dv Barnsley3–315 Sep
- D@ Milton Keynes Dons1–112 Sep
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
League One table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Huddersfield | 14 | +16 | 29 |
| 2 |  Stockport County | 14 | +12 | 26 |
| 3 |  Oxford United | 13 | +11 | 26 |
| 4 |  Luton | 14 | +6 | 24 |
| 5 |  Plymouth | 14 | +2 | 23 |
| 6 |  Reading | 14 | +10 | 22 |
| 7 |  Bradford | 13 | +2 | 22 |
| 8 |  Cambridge United | 14 | 0 | 21 |
| 9 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 13 | +8 | 20 |
| 10 |  Leicester | 13 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Mansfield Town | 13 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 |  Milton Keynes Dons | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 |  Wycombe | 13 | -2 | 18 |
| 14 |  Leyton Orient | 13 | +5 | 17 |
| 15 |  Burton Albion | 14 | -3 | 17 |
| 16 |  Stevenage | 12 | +4 | 16 |
| 17 |  Notts County | 12 | -1 | 14 |
| 18 |  AFC Wimbledon | 13 | -12 | 13 |
| 19 |  Blackpool | 12 | -4 | 12 |
| 20 |  Doncaster | 13 | -8 | 12 |
| 21 |  Wigan | 14 | -11 | 11 |
| 22 |  Peterborough | 13 | -12 | 10 |
| 23 |  Barnsley | 12 | -10 | 9 |
| 24 |  Bromley | 13 | -20 | 9 |
More League One predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Leicester vs Peterborough?
The Mind pick is Leicester to win with a Mind Score of 64, priced around 1.55 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Leicester or Peterborough?
The model gives Leicester 64%, the draw 17% and Peterborough 19%.
What is the likeliest score in Leicester vs Peterborough?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Leicester 1–0 Peterborough.
How many goals are expected in Leicester vs Peterborough?
Around 2.5 in total – over 2.5 rates 45% and both teams to score 58%.
When does Leicester vs Peterborough kick off?
Saturday 10 October 2026, 15:00 WAT, at King Power Stadium – League One.