Almeria vs Celta de Vigo II prediction: Almeria to win
The model lands a Almeria win in 64% of simulations. Almeria's latest result was a win (WWDD). The 1.36 price is thin on its own; it works best inside a combo.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
The model makes Almeria strong home favourites (64%). Table: Almeria 1st (32 pts), Celta de Vigo II 17th (13 pts).
Recent form
Almeria – sample of six: W W L L W W, with four wins. Most recent: at Cordoba, 2–0 (won). The attack is running at 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
The last six for Celta de Vigo II read L W L W D W (three wins). Most recent: v Eibar, 0–4 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.3 and 1.3 a game. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Almeria 1.9, Celta de Vigo II 0.8 – 2.7 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 51%, BTTS 51%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Almeria to win – Mind Score 64, bookmaker price around 1.36 against a fair 1.56. Likeliest score: Almeria 1–0 Celta de Vigo II. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Almeria
last 6- W@ Cordoba2–012 Sep
- Wv Cadiz3–26 Sep
- L@ Sabadell0–129 Aug
- L@ Tenerife0–123 Aug
- Wv Eldense3–017 Aug
- W@ Cordoba4–07 Aug
Celta de Vigo II
last 6- Lv Eibar0–414 Sep
- W@ AD Ceuta FC2–05 Sep
- Lv Castellón1–231 Aug
- Wv FC Andorra4–224 Aug
- D@ Cadiz0–015 Aug
- W@ Vizela1–01 Aug
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
Segunda División table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Almeria | 14 | +15 | 32 |
| 2 |  Castellón | 13 | +19 | 30 |
| 3 |  Girona | 14 | +11 | 24 |
| 4 |  Burgos | 14 | +3 | 24 |
| 5 |  Mallorca | 13 | +8 | 23 |
| 6 |  Eibar | 12 | +7 | 23 |
| 7 |  Granada CF | 12 | +6 | 23 |
| 8 |  Sporting Gijon | 14 | -1 | 23 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 14 | +2 | 21 |
| 10 |  Cordoba | 14 | 0 | 20 |
| 11 |  Las Palmas | 13 | -2 | 20 |
| 12 |  Valladolid | 14 | +1 | 18 |
| 13 |  Sabadell | 13 | +1 | 18 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 12 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 |  Leganes | 14 | -10 | 15 |
| 16 |  Eldense | 13 | -6 | 14 |
| 17 |  Celta de Vigo II | 13 | -6 | 13 |
| 18 |  Real Sociedad II | 14 | -7 | 13 |
| 19 |  FC Andorra | 13 | -6 | 11 |
| 20 |  Cadiz | 13 | -2 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 13 | -11 | 10 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 13 | -20 | 5 |
More Segunda División predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Almeria vs Celta de Vigo II?
The Mind pick is Almeria to win with a Mind Score of 64, priced around 1.36 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Almeria or Celta de Vigo II?
The model gives Almeria 64%, the draw 22% and Celta de Vigo II 13%.
What is the likeliest score in Almeria vs Celta de Vigo II?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Almeria 1–0 Celta de Vigo II.
How many goals are expected in Almeria vs Celta de Vigo II?
Around 2.7 in total – over 2.5 rates 51% and both teams to score 51%.
When does Almeria vs Celta de Vigo II kick off?
Sunday 20 September 2026, 17:30 WAT, at UD Almería Stadium – Segunda División.