Sabadell vs Oviedo prediction: Under 3.5 goals
1.3 projected goals keeps this under 3.5. The line lands in 96% of the model's runs. Sabadell's form is mixed (DLD, 0 W 2 D 1 L); Oviedo arrive off a defeat (LWLD). Mind Score 96.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
A near-even split in the model – home 37%, draw 24%, away 39%. Table: Sabadell 13th (18 pts), Oviedo 9th (21 pts).
Recent form
Sabadell bring a L W W D D W line into this one: three wins from six. Most recent: at Mallorca, 0–2 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.2 and 0.7 a game. 4 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
The last six for Oviedo read W D W L D W (three wins). Most recent: at Valladolid, 3–0 (won). Goals for and against: 1.2 and 0.5 a game. 4 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Sabadell 0.6, Oviedo 0.7 – 1.3 in total. Few chances projected: under 2.5 at 86%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 96. Likeliest score: Sabadell 0–1 Oviedo. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Sabadell
last 6- L@ Mallorca0–213 Sep
- Wv Cordoba3–27 Sep
- Wv Almeria1–029 Aug
- D@ Castellón0–023 Aug
- D@ Sporting Gijon0–017 Aug
- W@ Olot3–09 Aug
Oviedo
last 6- W@ Valladolid3–013 Sep
- Dv Burgos0–06 Sep
- W@ Albacete1–029 Aug
- Lv Leganes0–122 Aug
- Dv Granada CF0–015 Aug
- Wv Le Havre3–28 Aug
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
Segunda División table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Almeria | 14 | +15 | 32 |
| 2 |  Castellón | 13 | +19 | 30 |
| 3 |  Girona | 14 | +11 | 24 |
| 4 |  Burgos | 14 | +3 | 24 |
| 5 |  Mallorca | 13 | +8 | 23 |
| 6 |  Eibar | 12 | +7 | 23 |
| 7 |  Granada CF | 12 | +6 | 23 |
| 8 |  Sporting Gijon | 14 | -1 | 23 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 14 | +2 | 21 |
| 10 |  Cordoba | 14 | 0 | 20 |
| 11 |  Las Palmas | 13 | -2 | 20 |
| 12 |  Valladolid | 14 | +1 | 18 |
| 13 |  Sabadell | 13 | +1 | 18 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 12 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 |  Leganes | 14 | -10 | 15 |
| 16 |  Eldense | 13 | -6 | 14 |
| 17 |  Celta de Vigo II | 13 | -6 | 13 |
| 18 |  Real Sociedad II | 14 | -7 | 13 |
| 19 |  FC Andorra | 13 | -6 | 11 |
| 20 |  Cadiz | 13 | -2 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 13 | -11 | 10 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 13 | -20 | 5 |
More Segunda División predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Sabadell vs Oviedo?
The Mind pick is Under 3.5 goals with a Mind Score of 96.
Who is favourite, Sabadell or Oviedo?
The model gives Sabadell 37%, the draw 24% and Oviedo 39%.
What is the likeliest score in Sabadell vs Oviedo?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Sabadell 0–1 Oviedo.
How many goals are expected in Sabadell vs Oviedo?
Around 1.3 in total – over 2.5 rates 14% and both teams to score 42%.
When does Sabadell vs Oviedo kick off?
Sunday 20 September 2026, 13:00 WAT, at Nova Creu Alta – Segunda División.