Las Palmas vs Burgos prediction: Over 1.5 goals
The goal projection sits at 2.7, clear of the 1.5 line. Probability 75%. Las Palmas won most recently (WWD); Burgos arrive off a defeat (LWDW). Mind Score 75.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
Las Palmas edge it at home, 43% to 35%, with the draw on 22%. Table: Las Palmas 11th (20 pts), Burgos 4th (24 pts).
Recent form
Las Palmas bring a W D L W W L line into this one: three wins from six. Most recent: at Cadiz, 1–0 (won). Goals for and against: 1.2 and 1.2 a game. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Burgos bring a W D D L W D line into this one: two wins from six. Most recent: v AD Ceuta FC, 3–1 (won). Goals for and against: 1.3 and 1.0 a game.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Las Palmas 1.4, Burgos 1.3 – 2.7 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 51%, BTTS 57%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 75. Likeliest score: Las Palmas 2–1 Burgos. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Las Palmas
last 6- W@ Cadiz1–012 Sep
- Dv Leganes0–04 Sep
- L@ Girona2–529 Aug
- W@ AD Ceuta FC2–022 Aug
- Wv Albacete2–116 Aug
- Lv NEOM0–131 Jul
Burgos
last 6- Wv AD Ceuta FC3–111 Sep
- D@ Oviedo0–06 Sep
- Dv Real Sociedad II2–231 Aug
- L@ Sporting Gijon0–123 Aug
- Wv Cordoba3–216 Aug
- Dv Cultural Leonesa0–08 Aug
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
Segunda División table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Almeria | 14 | +15 | 32 |
| 2 |  Castellón | 13 | +19 | 30 |
| 3 |  Girona | 14 | +11 | 24 |
| 4 |  Burgos | 14 | +3 | 24 |
| 5 |  Mallorca | 13 | +8 | 23 |
| 6 |  Eibar | 12 | +7 | 23 |
| 7 |  Granada CF | 12 | +6 | 23 |
| 8 |  Sporting Gijon | 14 | -1 | 23 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 14 | +2 | 21 |
| 10 |  Cordoba | 14 | 0 | 20 |
| 11 |  Las Palmas | 13 | -2 | 20 |
| 12 |  Valladolid | 14 | +1 | 18 |
| 13 |  Sabadell | 13 | +1 | 18 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 12 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 |  Leganes | 14 | -10 | 15 |
| 16 |  Eldense | 13 | -6 | 14 |
| 17 |  Celta de Vigo II | 13 | -6 | 13 |
| 18 |  Real Sociedad II | 14 | -7 | 13 |
| 19 |  FC Andorra | 13 | -6 | 11 |
| 20 |  Cadiz | 13 | -2 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 13 | -11 | 10 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 13 | -20 | 5 |
More Segunda División predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Las Palmas vs Burgos?
The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 75.
Who is favourite, Las Palmas or Burgos?
The model gives Las Palmas 43%, the draw 22% and Burgos 35%.
What is the likeliest score in Las Palmas vs Burgos?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Las Palmas 2–1 Burgos.
How many goals are expected in Las Palmas vs Burgos?
Around 2.7 in total – over 2.5 rates 51% and both teams to score 57%.
When does Las Palmas vs Burgos kick off?
Sunday 20 September 2026, 17:30 WAT, at Gran Canaria – Segunda División.