Accrington ST vs Salford City prediction: Over 1.5 goals
Accrington ST (1.9) plus Salford City (3.1) puts 5.0 goals on the board. Probability 96%. Accrington ST arrive off a defeat (LWLD); Salford City's form is mixed (DLWW, 2 W 1 D 1 L). Mind Score 96.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
A slight away lean – Salford City 59%, Accrington ST 22%. Table: Accrington ST 3rd (4 pts), Salford City 1st (9 pts).
Recent form
Accrington ST bring a W D D D L W line into this one: two wins from six. Most recent: v Cheltenham, 2–0 (won). Goals for and against: 1.7 and 1.3 a game.
Salford City – sample of six: W W L W D W, with four wins. Most recent: v Fleetwood Town, 1–0 (won). Goals for and against: 1.8 and 1.0 a game. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Accrington ST 1.9, Salford City 3.1 – 5.0 in total. The grid favours goals: over 2.5 at 88%, both to score at 71%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 96. Likeliest score: Accrington ST 1–3 Salford City. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Accrington ST
last 6- Wv Cheltenham2–03 Oct
- D@ Swindon Town1–126 Sep
- Dv Sunderland U213–322 Sep
- Dv Newport County0–019 Sep
- L@ Barnet1–212 Sep
- Wv Crawley Town3–25 Sep
Salford City
last 6- Wv Fleetwood Town1–03 Oct
- W@ Oldham4–126 Sep
- Lv Sheffield Wednesday1–222 Sep
- Wv Swindon Town1–019 Sep
- D@ Rotherham3–312 Sep
- Wv Port Vale1–05 Sep
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
EFL Trophy table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 3 | +6 | 9 |
| 2 |  Stockport County | 3 | 0 | 5 |
| 3 |  Wolves U21 | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 |  Wigan | 3 | -3 | 1 |
More EFL Trophy predictions
League page →
Sheffield Wednesday2
Sunderland U210
Blackpool2
Crewe2
Rotherham0
Bradford4
Port Vale2
Mansfield Town0
Shrewsbury0
Grimsby0
Burton Albion0
Fleetwood Town4
Barnsley1
Doncaster1
Liverpool U210Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Accrington ST vs Salford City?
The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 96.
Who is favourite, Accrington ST or Salford City?
The model gives Accrington ST 22%, the draw 20% and Salford City 59%.
What is the likeliest score in Accrington ST vs Salford City?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Accrington ST 1–3 Salford City.
How many goals are expected in Accrington ST vs Salford City?
Around 5.0 in total – over 2.5 rates 88% and both teams to score 71%.
When does Accrington ST vs Salford City kick off?
Tuesday 6 October 2026, 19:00 WAT, at The Crown Ground – EFL Trophy.