Grimsby vs Burton Albion prediction: Over 1.5 goals
An open game on paper: 3.0 projected goals. Probability 80%. Grimsby's latest result was a win (WLDW); Burton Albion were beaten last time (LLWL). Mind Score 80.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
A near-even split in the model – home 41%, draw 21%, away 38%. Table: Grimsby 3rd (3 pts), Burton Albion 3rd (3 pts).
Recent form
Grimsby – sample of six: L L L W W D, with two wins. Most recent: v Shrewsbury, 1–2 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.5 and 1.3 a game.
The last six for Burton Albion read L W D D L D (one win). Most recent: v Huddersfield, 1–3 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.2 and 1.8 a game.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Grimsby 1.5, Burton Albion 1.5 – 3.0 in total. The grid favours goals: over 2.5 at 58%, both to score at 64%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 80. Likeliest score: Grimsby 2–1 Burton Albion. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Grimsby
last 6- Lv Shrewsbury1–23 Oct
- L@ Newport County1–226 Sep
- L@ Notts County1–222 Sep
- Wv Crawley Town2–019 Sep
- Wv Bristol Rovers2–012 Sep
- D@ Cheltenham2–25 Sep
Burton Albion
last 6- Lv Huddersfield1–33 Oct
- W@ Plymouth1–026 Sep
- Dv Nottingham Forest U211–122 Sep
- Dv Mansfield Town2–219 Sep
- L@ Oxford United0–312 Sep
- Dv Cambridge United2–25 Sep
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
EFL Trophy table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Doncaster | 3 | +6 | 9 |
| 2 |  Bradford | 3 | +3 | 6 |
| 3 |  Grimsby | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 |  Everton U21 | 3 | -7 | 0 |
More EFL Trophy predictions
League page →
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Blackpool2
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Rotherham0
Port Vale2
Mansfield Town0
Shrewsbury0
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Barnsley1
Liverpool U210Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Grimsby vs Burton Albion?
The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 80.
Who is favourite, Grimsby or Burton Albion?
The model gives Grimsby 41%, the draw 21% and Burton Albion 38%.
What is the likeliest score in Grimsby vs Burton Albion?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Grimsby 2–1 Burton Albion.
How many goals are expected in Grimsby vs Burton Albion?
Around 3.0 in total – over 2.5 rates 58% and both teams to score 64%.
When does Grimsby vs Burton Albion kick off?
Tuesday 6 October 2026, 19:00 WAT, at Blundell Park – EFL Trophy.