421 matches analysed today 65 live now 30-day hit rate 74% 13:44 WATTelegram18+
England EFL Trophy Tue 6 Oct 2026 · New Meadow Full time
0–2
Half-time 0–0
14%Shrewsbury19%Draw67%Stockport County

Shrewsbury vs Stockport County prediction: Over 1.5 goals

The Mind pick · Landed ✓ Over 1.5 goals

The goal projection sits at 5.0, clear of the 1.5 line. The line lands in 96% of the model's runs. Shrewsbury have taken 3 wins from 4 (WWLW); Stockport County won most recently (WDDWL). Mind Score 96.

96Mind Score Odds– Score1–3

The crowd's call

Fans' vote

Voting closed at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Shrewsbury4.5014% X · Draw3.5019% 2 · Stockport County1.6267%

Double chance

1X2.1033% 121.2581% X21.1786%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.0496% · fair Under 1.524.744% · fair

Goals 2.5

Over 2.51.1488% · fair Under 2.58.0212% · fair

Goals 3.5

Over 3.51.3673% · fair Under 3.53.7727% · fair

Both teams to score

GG · Yes1.7067% NG · No2.0033%

Half-time result

HT 14.8019% HT X2.3027% HT 22.0554%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

Stockport County rate as strong favourites despite travelling – 67% in the model. Table: Shrewsbury 3rd (3 pts), Stockport County 2nd (5 pts).

Recent form

Shrewsbury bring a W D L D W L line into this one: two wins from six. Most recent: at Grimsby, 2–1 (won). Goals for and against: 1.2 and 1.2 a game.

The last six for Stockport County read W D L W L W (three wins). Most recent: v Peterborough, 1–0 (won). Output is high: 2.2 goals a game across the sample. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.

Expected goals

Expected goals: Shrewsbury 1.7, Stockport County 3.3 – 5.0 in total. An open profile – over 2.5 88%, BTTS 67%.

The pick (settled)

The pre-match Mind pick was Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 96. Likeliest score: Shrewsbury 1–3 Stockport County. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.

Shrewsbury

last 6
  • W@ Grimsby2–13 Oct
  • Dv Colchester2–226 Sep
  • L@ Tranmere0–122 Sep
  • D@ Crewe1–119 Sep
  • Wv Northampton2–012 Sep
  • L@ Fleetwood Town0–25 Sep
1.2scored / game1.2conceded50%GG33%over 2.5

Stockport County

last 6
  • Wv Peterborough1–026 Sep
  • D@ Sheffield Wednesday0–019 Sep
  • Lv Leicester3–412 Sep
  • W@ Wigan4–05 Sep
  • L@ Luton0–22 Sep
  • Wv Wycombe5–129 Aug
2.2scored / game1.2conceded33%GG50%over 2.5

Head-to-head

Every meeting →

No previous meeting in our data.

EFL Trophy table

League page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Salford City3300+69
2Stockport County320105
3Wolves U213102-33
4Wigan3003-31

More EFL Trophy predictions

League page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the FootyMind prediction for Shrewsbury vs Stockport County?

The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 96.

Who is favourite, Shrewsbury or Stockport County?

The model gives Shrewsbury 14%, the draw 19% and Stockport County 67%.

What is the likeliest score in Shrewsbury vs Stockport County?

The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Shrewsbury 1–3 Stockport County.

How many goals are expected in Shrewsbury vs Stockport County?

Around 5.0 in total – over 2.5 rates 88% and both teams to score 67%.

When does Shrewsbury vs Stockport County kick off?

Tuesday 6 October 2026, 19:00 WAT, at New Meadow – EFL Trophy.