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Spain Tercera División RFEF Group 1 Sun 15 Nov 2026 Upcoming

Antela

DDDLL
Sunday · WAT
24%Antela26%Draw50%Sarriana

Antela vs Sarriana prediction: Over 1.5 goals

The Mind pick Over 1.5 goals

Antela (1.0) plus Sarriana (1.4) puts 2.4 goals on the board. The line lands in 69% of the model's runs. Price check: 1.32 is shorter than fair – better as an accumulator leg.

69Mind Score Odds1.32 Score1–2

Your call: who wins?

Fans' vote

Vote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Antela3.4524% X · Draw3.1226% 2 · Sarriana1.9550%

Double chance

1X1.6550% 121.2574% X21.2176%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.3269% Under 1.52.8831%

Goals 2.5

Over 2.52.1043% Under 2.51.6357%

Goals 3.5

Over 3.53.8223% Under 3.51.1877%

Both teams to score

GG · Yes1.8657% NG · No1.7843%

Half-time result

HT 14.2522% HT X1.9545% HT 22.6633%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

Sarriana shade it on the road, 50% to 24%. Table: Antela 12th (13 pts), Sarriana 2nd (18 pts).

Recent form

Antela bring a L L D D D W line into this one: one win from six. Most recent: v Silva, 0–1 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.0 and 1.2 a game.

The last six for Sarriana read W D W D D D (two wins). Most recent: v Pontevedra II, 3–1 (won). Goals for and against: 1.8 and 1.3 a game.

Expected goals

Expected goals: Antela 1.0, Sarriana 1.4 – 2.4 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 43%, BTTS 57%.

The pick

Pick: Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 69, bookmaker price around 1.32 against a fair 1.45. Likeliest score: Antela 1–2 Sarriana. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.

Antela

last 6
  • Lv Silva0–18 Nov
  • L@ Pontevedra II0–11 Nov
  • Dv Lalin2–225 Oct
  • D@ Portonovo SD0–018 Oct
  • Dv Barco1–111 Oct
  • W@ Arenteiro3–23 Oct
1.0scored / game1.2conceded50%GG33%over 2.5

Sarriana

last 6
  • Wv Pontevedra II3–18 Nov
  • D@ Lalin0–01 Nov
  • Wv Portonovo SD2–125 Oct
  • D@ Barco1–118 Oct
  • Dv Arenteiro3–311 Oct
  • D@ Somozas2–24 Oct
1.8scored / game1.3conceded83%GG67%over 2.5

Head-to-head

Every meeting →

No previous meeting in our data.

Tercera División RFEF Group 1 table

League page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Boiro10721+1023
2Sarriana10532+518
3Lalin11533018
4Silva10523+117
5Barco10442+516
6Atlético Arteixo10442+316
7Portonovo SD11434+215
8Estradense10433015
9Villalbés10352+114
10Celtiga11353-114
11Pontevedra II10415+213
12Antela10343-113
13Alondras10334-112
14Somozas10253-111
15Arenteiro10316-410
16Coruña11308-109
17Celta de Vigo III10226-58
18Viveiro10226-68

More Tercera División RFEF Group 1 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the FootyMind prediction for Antela vs Sarriana?

The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 69, priced around 1.32 by the bookmakers.

Who is favourite, Antela or Sarriana?

The model gives Antela 24%, the draw 26% and Sarriana 50%.

What is the likeliest score in Antela vs Sarriana?

The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Antela 1–2 Sarriana.

How many goals are expected in Antela vs Sarriana?

Around 2.4 in total – over 2.5 rates 43% and both teams to score 57%.

When does Antela vs Sarriana kick off?

Sunday 15 November 2026, 16:30 WAT – Tercera División RFEF Group 1.