Antela vs Sarriana prediction: Over 1.5 goals
Antela (1.0) plus Sarriana (1.4) puts 2.4 goals on the board. The line lands in 69% of the model's runs. Price check: 1.32 is shorter than fair – better as an accumulator leg.
Your call: who wins?
Fans' voteVote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
Sarriana shade it on the road, 50% to 24%. Table: Antela 12th (13 pts), Sarriana 2nd (18 pts).
Recent form
Antela bring a L L D D D W line into this one: one win from six. Most recent: v Silva, 0–1 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.0 and 1.2 a game.
The last six for Sarriana read W D W D D D (two wins). Most recent: v Pontevedra II, 3–1 (won). Goals for and against: 1.8 and 1.3 a game.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Antela 1.0, Sarriana 1.4 – 2.4 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 43%, BTTS 57%.
The pick
Pick: Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 69, bookmaker price around 1.32 against a fair 1.45. Likeliest score: Antela 1–2 Sarriana. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Antela
last 6- Lv Silva0–18 Nov
- L@ Pontevedra II0–11 Nov
- Dv Lalin2–225 Oct
- D@ Portonovo SD0–018 Oct
- Dv Barco1–111 Oct
- W@ Arenteiro3–23 Oct
Sarriana
last 6- Wv Pontevedra II3–18 Nov
- D@ Lalin0–01 Nov
- Wv Portonovo SD2–125 Oct
- D@ Barco1–118 Oct
- Dv Arenteiro3–311 Oct
- D@ Somozas2–24 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
Tercera División RFEF Group 1 table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | +10 | 23 | |
| 2 | 10 | +5 | 18 | |
| 3 | 11 | 0 | 18 | |
| 4 | 10 | +1 | 17 | |
| 5 | 10 | +5 | 16 | |
| 6 | 10 | +3 | 16 | |
| 7 | 11 | +2 | 15 | |
| 8 | 10 | 0 | 15 | |
| 9 | 10 | +1 | 14 | |
| 10 | 11 | -1 | 14 | |
| 11 | 10 | +2 | 13 | |
| 12 | 10 | -1 | 13 | |
| 13 | 10 | -1 | 12 | |
| 14 | 10 | -1 | 11 | |
| 15 | 10 | -4 | 10 | |
| 16 | 11 | -10 | 9 | |
| 17 | 10 | -5 | 8 | |
| 18 | 10 | -6 | 8 |
More Tercera División RFEF Group 1 predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Antela vs Sarriana?
The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 69, priced around 1.32 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Antela or Sarriana?
The model gives Antela 24%, the draw 26% and Sarriana 50%.
What is the likeliest score in Antela vs Sarriana?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Antela 1–2 Sarriana.
How many goals are expected in Antela vs Sarriana?
Around 2.4 in total – over 2.5 rates 43% and both teams to score 57%.
When does Antela vs Sarriana kick off?
Sunday 15 November 2026, 16:30 WAT – Tercera División RFEF Group 1.

