Somozas vs Estradense prediction: Over 1.5 goals
The goal projection sits at 2.6, clear of the 1.5 line. The line lands in 71% of the model's runs. Price check: 1.32 is shorter than fair – better as an accumulator leg.
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Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
The ratings barely separate them: Somozas 40%, draw 24%, Estradense 36%. Table: Somozas 14th (11 pts), Estradense 8th (15 pts).
Recent form
The last six for Somozas read W D D L D D (one win). Most recent: at Villalbés, 2–1 (won). Goals for and against: 1.5 and 1.5 a game. Zero clean sheets across the sample.
Estradense – sample of six: D D W L W W, with three wins. Most recent: v Celta de Vigo III, 1–1 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.8 and 1.5 a game. Zero clean sheets across the sample.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Somozas 1.4, Estradense 1.3 – 2.6 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 47%, BTTS 51%.
The pick
Pick: Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 71, bookmaker price around 1.32 against a fair 1.40. Likeliest score: Somozas 2–1 Estradense. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Somozas
last 6- W@ Villalbés2–18 Nov
- Dv Boiro1–11 Nov
- D@ Celtiga1–125 Oct
- Lv Coruña1–218 Oct
- D@ Atlético Arteixo2–210 Oct
- Dv Sarriana2–24 Oct
Estradense
last 6- Dv Celta de Vigo III1–18 Nov
- D@ Alondras1–11 Nov
- Wv Viveiro3–225 Oct
- L@ Silva1–218 Oct
- W@ Villalbés2–111 Oct
- Wv Boiro3–24 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
Tercera División RFEF Group 1 table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boiro | 10 | +10 | 23 |
| 2 |  Sarriana | 10 | +5 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lalin | 11 | 0 | 18 |
| 4 |  Silva | 10 | +1 | 17 |
| 5 |  Barco | 10 | +5 | 16 |
| 6 |  Atlético Arteixo | 10 | +3 | 16 |
| 7 |  Portonovo SD | 11 | +2 | 15 |
| 8 |  Estradense | 10 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 |  Villalbés | 10 | +1 | 14 |
| 10 |  Celtiga | 11 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 |  Pontevedra II | 10 | +2 | 13 |
| 12 |  Antela | 10 | -1 | 13 |
| 13 |  Alondras | 10 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 |  Somozas | 10 | -1 | 11 |
| 15 |  Arenteiro | 10 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 |  Coruña | 11 | -10 | 9 |
| 17 |  Celta de Vigo III | 10 | -5 | 8 |
| 18 |  Viveiro | 10 | -6 | 8 |
More Tercera División RFEF Group 1 predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Somozas vs Estradense?
The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 71, priced around 1.32 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Somozas or Estradense?
The model gives Somozas 40%, the draw 24% and Estradense 36%.
What is the likeliest score in Somozas vs Estradense?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Somozas 2–1 Estradense.
How many goals are expected in Somozas vs Estradense?
Around 2.6 in total – over 2.5 rates 47% and both teams to score 51%.
When does Somozas vs Estradense kick off?
Sunday 15 November 2026, 17:00 WAT – Tercera División RFEF Group 1.