510 matches analysed today 2 live now 30-day hit rate 64% 05:24 WATTelegram18+
Italy Serie D Girone D Sun 15 Nov 2026 Upcoming
Sunday · WAT
24%Correggese17%Draw60%Lentigione

Correggese vs Lentigione prediction: Lentigione to win

The Mind pick Lentigione to win

Lentigione rate better at both ends – 1.8 expected for, 1.0 against. Correggese arrive off a defeat (LDD); Lentigione won most recently (WWD). At 1.65 the market and the model roughly agree.

60Mind Score Odds1.65 Score0–1

Your call: who wins?

Fans' vote

Vote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Correggese4.6024% X · Draw3.5517% 2 · Lentigione1.6560%

Double chance

1X2.0240% 121.2483% X21.1776%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.3375% · fair Under 1.54.0525% · fair

Goals 2.5

Over 2.51.7551% Under 2.51.9049%

Goals 3.5

Over 3.53.4729% · fair Under 3.51.4171% · fair

Both teams to score

GG · Yes1.8849% NG · No1.9251%

Half-time result

HT 14.7518% HT X2.1541% HT 22.2041%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

A slight away lean – Lentigione 60%, Correggese 24%. Table: Correggese 13th (12 pts), Lentigione 2nd (24 pts).

Recent form

Correggese bring a L D D L L W line into this one: one win from six. Most recent: at Pro Sesto, 2–4 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.2 and 1.8 a game. Zero clean sheets across the sample.

Lentigione bring a W W D D W L line into this one: three wins from six. Most recent: v Arconatese, 2–1 (won). Goals for and against: 1.7 and 1.2 a game.

Head-to-head

Latest (Mar 2026): Correggese 1–1 Lentigione. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.

Expected goals

Expected goals: Correggese 1.0, Lentigione 1.8 – 2.7 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 51%, BTTS 49%.

The pick

Where the model lands: Lentigione to win – Mind Score 60, bookmaker price around 1.65 against a fair 1.67. Likeliest score: Correggese 0–1 Lentigione. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.

Correggese

last 6
  • L@ Pro Sesto2–48 Nov
  • Dv Coriano2–21 Nov
  • D@ Pro Patria1–125 Oct
  • Lv Castellanzese0–218 Oct
  • L@ Pistoiese0–111 Oct
  • Wv Pavia2–14 Oct
1.2scored / game1.8conceded67%GG50%over 2.5

Lentigione

last 6
  • Wv Arconatese2–18 Nov
  • W@ Sant'Angelo2–01 Nov
  • Dv Crema1–125 Oct
  • D@ Solbiatese2–218 Oct
  • Wv Pontedera2–011 Oct
  • Lv Piacenza1–37 Oct
1.7scored / game1.2conceded67%GG50%over 2.5

Head-to-head

Every meeting →
  • 22 Mar 2026Correggese1–1Lentigione

Serie D Girone D table

League page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Pistoiese11911+1928
2Lentigione11731+824
3Pro Patria11632+721
4Castellanzese11614+819
5USD Casatese11614+119
6Pro Sesto11533+1218
7Cittadella Vis Modena11524+317
8Solbiatese11452+217
9Sant'Angelo11434015
10Crema11434-315
11Città di Varese11353+414
12Pavia11353+314
13Correggese11335-712
14Varesina11254-211
15Coriano11236-59
16Pontedera11218-167
17Arconatese11137-156
18Oltrepò11128-195

More Serie D Girone D predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the FootyMind prediction for Correggese vs Lentigione?

The Mind pick is Lentigione to win with a Mind Score of 60, priced around 1.65 by the bookmakers.

Who is favourite, Correggese or Lentigione?

The model gives Correggese 24%, the draw 17% and Lentigione 60%.

What is the likeliest score in Correggese vs Lentigione?

The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Correggese 0–1 Lentigione.

How many goals are expected in Correggese vs Lentigione?

Around 2.7 in total – over 2.5 rates 51% and both teams to score 49%.

When does Correggese vs Lentigione kick off?

Sunday 15 November 2026, 14:30 WAT – Serie D Girone D.