USD Casatese vs Città di Varese prediction: Over 1.5 goals
An open game on paper: 2.7 projected goals. Probability 76%. USD Casatese won most recently (WWL). Mind Score 76.
Your call: who wins?
Fans' voteVote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
A modest home lean: USD Casatese 43%, Città di Varese 33%, draw 24%. Table: USD Casatese 5th (19 pts), Città di Varese 11th (14 pts).
Recent form
USD Casatese – sample of six: W W L L W L, with three wins. Most recent: at Castellanzese, 1–0 (won). Output has stalled at 0.8 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Città di Varese bring a D L D W W L line into this one: two wins from six. Most recent: v Sant'Angelo, 2–2 (drawn). Output is high: 2.0 goals a game across the sample.
Expected goals
Expected goals: USD Casatese 1.5, Città di Varese 1.3 – 2.7 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 51%, BTTS 59%.
The pick
The Mind pick: Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 76. Likeliest score: USD Casatese 2–1 Città di Varese. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
USD Casatese
last 6- W@ Castellanzese1–08 Nov
- Wv Pro Sesto1–01 Nov
- L@ Pavia1–325 Oct
- Lv Pro Patria1–218 Oct
- W@ Cittadella Vis Modena1–011 Oct
- Lv Pistoiese0–34 Oct
Città di Varese
last 6- Dv Sant'Angelo2–28 Nov
- L@ Varesina1–31 Nov
- Dv Solbiatese0–025 Oct
- W@ Arconatese5–118 Oct
- Wv Oltrepò2–011 Oct
- Lv Pro Patria2–57 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
Serie D Girone D table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Pistoiese | 11 | +19 | 28 |
| 2 |  Lentigione | 11 | +8 | 24 |
| 3 |  Pro Patria | 11 | +7 | 21 |
| 4 |  Castellanzese | 11 | +8 | 19 |
| 5 |  USD Casatese | 11 | +1 | 19 |
| 6 |  Pro Sesto | 11 | +12 | 18 |
| 7 |  Cittadella Vis Modena | 11 | +3 | 17 |
| 8 |  Solbiatese | 11 | +2 | 17 |
| 9 |  Sant'Angelo | 11 | 0 | 15 |
| 10 |  Crema | 11 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 |  Città di Varese | 11 | +4 | 14 |
| 12 |  Pavia | 11 | +3 | 14 |
| 13 |  Correggese | 11 | -7 | 12 |
| 14 |  Varesina | 11 | -2 | 11 |
| 15 |  Coriano | 11 | -5 | 9 |
| 16 |  Pontedera | 11 | -16 | 7 |
| 17 |  Arconatese | 11 | -15 | 6 |
| 18 |  Oltrepò | 11 | -19 | 5 |
More Serie D Girone D predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for USD Casatese vs Città di Varese?
The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 76.
Who is favourite, USD Casatese or Città di Varese?
The model gives USD Casatese 43%, the draw 24% and Città di Varese 33%.
What is the likeliest score in USD Casatese vs Città di Varese?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is USD Casatese 2–1 Città di Varese.
How many goals are expected in USD Casatese vs Città di Varese?
Around 2.7 in total – over 2.5 rates 51% and both teams to score 59%.
When does USD Casatese vs Città di Varese kick off?
Sunday 15 November 2026, 14:30 WAT – Serie D Girone D.