Mombasa Elite vs Shabana prediction: Under 2.5 goals
The model sees few chances: 1.8 goals in total. The line lands in 68% of the model's runs. Shabana's latest result was a win (WDD). The 1.41 price is thin on its own; it works best inside a combo.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
A slight away lean – Shabana 49%, Mombasa Elite 27%. Table: Mombasa Elite 18th (1 pts), Shabana 6th (9 pts).
Recent form
Mombasa Elite – sample of six: L L L L W D, with one win. Most recent: at KCB, 1–3 (lost). Output has stalled at 0.7 goals a game.
Shabana bring a D D D W L L line into this one: one win from six. Most recent: v Migori Youth, 1–1 (drawn). Just 0.5 goals per game in that run – a weak attacking signal. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Mombasa Elite 0.7, Shabana 1.1 – 1.8 in total. Few chances projected: under 2.5 at 68%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Under 2.5 goals – Mind Score 68, bookmaker price around 1.41 against a fair 1.47. Likeliest score: Mombasa Elite 0–1 Shabana. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Mombasa Elite
last 6- L@ KCB1–328 Oct
- L@ Mara Sugar1–219 Oct
- Lv Homeboyz0–114 Oct
- L@ Migori Youth0–22 Oct
- Wv Kariobangi Sharks2–11 Oct
- Dv Police0–011 Sep
Shabana
last 6- Dv Migori Youth1–129 Oct
- D@ AFC Leopards0–025 Oct
- Dv Nairobi United0–018 Oct
- W@ Posta Rangers FC1–010 Oct
- Lv Police0–12 Oct
- Lv KCB1–231 May
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
FKF Premier League table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  GOR Mahia | 6 | +4 | 13 |
| 2 |  KCB | 6 | +4 | 13 |
| 3 |  AFC Leopards | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 4 |  APS Bomet | 7 | +2 | 9 |
| 5 |  Kenya Police | 6 | +1 | 9 |
| 6 |  Shabana | 6 | +1 | 9 |
| 7 |  Mara Sugar | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 8 |  3K | 6 | -1 | 9 |
| 9 |  Murang'a SEAL | 6 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Migori Youth | 6 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 |  Bandari | 7 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 |  Ulinzi Stars | 7 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 |  Posta Rangers FC | 6 | -4 | 7 |
| 14 |  Tusker | 4 | +2 | 6 |
| 15 |  Nairobi United | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| 16 |  Mathare United | 6 | -2 | 5 |
| 17 |  Homeboyz | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 |  Mombasa Elite | 6 | -7 | 1 |
More FKF Premier League predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Mombasa Elite vs Shabana?
The Mind pick is Under 2.5 goals with a Mind Score of 68, priced around 1.41 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Mombasa Elite or Shabana?
The model gives Mombasa Elite 27%, the draw 24% and Shabana 49%.
What is the likeliest score in Mombasa Elite vs Shabana?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Mombasa Elite 0–1 Shabana.
How many goals are expected in Mombasa Elite vs Shabana?
Around 1.8 in total – over 2.5 rates 32% and both teams to score 49%.
When does Mombasa Elite vs Shabana kick off?
Saturday 7 November 2026, 12:00 WAT – FKF Premier League.