Migori Youth vs AFC Leopards prediction: Under 3.5 goals
The model sees few chances: 1.5 goals in total. Probability 94%. Migori Youth's form is mixed (DLD, 0 W 2 D 1 L); AFC Leopards's form is mixed (DDD, 0 W 3 D 0 L). Mind Score 94.
Your call: who wins?
Fans' voteVote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
A slight away lean – AFC Leopards 44%, Migori Youth 29%. Table: Migori Youth 10th (7 pts), AFC Leopards 3rd (10 pts).
Recent form
Migori Youth bring a D L D D W D line into this one: one win from six. Most recent: at Ulinzi Stars, 1–1 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.0 and 0.8 a game.
AFC Leopards bring a D D D W D W line into this one: two wins from six. Most recent: at 3K, 0–0 (drawn). Output has stalled at 0.7 goals a game. 5 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Migori Youth 0.7, AFC Leopards 0.8 – 1.5 in total. Few chances projected: under 2.5 at 82%.
The pick
Pick: Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 94. Likeliest score: Migori Youth 0–1 AFC Leopards. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Migori Youth
last 6- D@ Ulinzi Stars1–114 Nov
- L@ Mara Sugar1–27 Nov
- D@ Shabana1–129 Oct
- Dv Police1–111 Oct
- Wv Mombasa Elite2–02 Oct
- Dv Mathare United0–011 Sep
AFC Leopards
last 6- D@ 3K0–07 Nov
- D@ Mara Sugar0–028 Oct
- Dv Shabana0–025 Oct
- W@ Kenya Police2–120 Oct
- Dv Bandari0–014 Oct
- Wv Homeboyz2–02 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
FKF Premier League table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  GOR Mahia | 6 | +4 | 13 |
| 2 |  KCB | 6 | +4 | 13 |
| 3 |  AFC Leopards | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 4 |  APS Bomet | 7 | +2 | 9 |
| 5 |  Kenya Police | 6 | +1 | 9 |
| 6 |  Shabana | 6 | +1 | 9 |
| 7 |  Mara Sugar | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 8 |  3K | 6 | -1 | 9 |
| 9 |  Murang'a SEAL | 6 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Migori Youth | 6 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 |  Bandari | 7 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 |  Ulinzi Stars | 7 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 |  Posta Rangers FC | 6 | -4 | 7 |
| 14 |  Tusker | 4 | +2 | 6 |
| 15 |  Nairobi United | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| 16 |  Mathare United | 6 | -2 | 5 |
| 17 |  Homeboyz | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 |  Mombasa Elite | 6 | -7 | 1 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Migori Youth vs AFC Leopards?
The Mind pick is Under 3.5 goals with a Mind Score of 94.
Who is favourite, Migori Youth or AFC Leopards?
The model gives Migori Youth 29%, the draw 27% and AFC Leopards 44%.
What is the likeliest score in Migori Youth vs AFC Leopards?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Migori Youth 0–1 AFC Leopards.
How many goals are expected in Migori Youth vs AFC Leopards?
Around 1.5 in total – over 2.5 rates 18% and both teams to score 37%.
When does Migori Youth vs AFC Leopards kick off?
Saturday 21 November 2026, 12:00 WAT – FKF Premier League.