421 matches analysed today 68 live now 30-day hit rate 74% 13:38 WATTelegram18+
England FA Cup Sat 3 Oct 2026 Full time

Barton Town Old Boys

DW
1–4
Half-time 0–3

Chorley

LWLWW
22%Barton Town Old Boys16%Draw62%Chorley

Barton Town Old Boys vs Chorley prediction: Chorley to win

The Mind pick · Landed ✓ Chorley to win

Chorley rate better at both ends – 1.8 expected for, 0.9 against. Chorley arrive off a defeat (LLW). Price check: 1.40 is shorter than fair – better as an accumulator leg.

62Mind Score Odds1.40 Score0–1

The crowd's call

Fans' vote

Voting closed at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Barton Town Old Boys5.0022% X · Draw5.0016% 2 · Chorley1.4062%

Double chance

1X2.6038% 121.1184% X21.1178%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.3574% · fair Under 1.53.8326% · fair

Goals 2.5

Over 2.51.5056% Under 2.52.5044%

Goals 3.5

Over 3.53.6827% · fair Under 3.51.3773% · fair

Both teams to score

GG · Yes2.1048% · fair NG · No1.9152% · fair

Half-time result

HT 15.5017% HT X2.6041% HT 21.8342%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

The away side carries the numbers: Chorley 62%, Barton Town Old Boys 22%.

Recent form

The last six for Chorley read W W L W L D (three wins). Most recent: v Spalding United, 2–1 (won). Goals for and against: 1.7 and 1.8 a game.

Expected goals

Expected goals: Barton Town Old Boys 0.9, Chorley 1.8 – 2.6 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 56%, BTTS 48%.

The pick (settled)

The pre-match Mind pick was Chorley to win – Mind Score 62, bookmaker price around 1.40 against a fair 1.61. Likeliest score: Barton Town Old Boys 0–1 Chorley. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.

Barton Town Old Boys

last 2
  • Wv Boldmere St. Michaels3–119 Sep
  • D@ North Ferriby0–05 Sep
1.5scored / game0.5conceded50%GG50%over 2.5

Chorley

last 6
  • Wv Spalding United2–126 Sep
  • W@ Rylands1–019 Sep
  • L@ King's Lynn Town0–212 Sep
  • Wv Darlington 18835–28 Sep
  • L@ Oxford City0–45 Sep
  • Dv Brackley Town2–231 Aug
1.7scored / game1.8conceded50%GG67%over 2.5

Head-to-head

Every meeting →

No previous meeting in our data.

More FA Cup predictions

League page →
FT Brentwood Town3Dagenham & Redbridge1 171667 Pick landed ✓Over 1.5 goalsMS 82
FT Brackley Town0Chelmsford City2 402238 Pick landed ✓Under 3.5 goalsMS 87
FT Bury2Bromsgrove Sporting1 641323 Pick landed ✓Over 1.5 goalsMS 90
FT Bury Town1Spalding United1 402040 Pick landed ✓Over 1.5 goalsMS 89
FT Buxton0South Shields2 302050 Pick landed ✓Over 1.5 goalsMS 87
FT Cambridge City1Alvechurch2 241363 Pick landed ✓Over 1.5 goalsMS 87
FT Chesham United4Real Bedford3 422038 Pick landed ✓Over 1.5 goalsMS 92
FT Ebbsfleet United1Sholing2 661717 Pick missed ✗Home winMS 66@1.28

Frequently asked questions

What is the FootyMind prediction for Barton Town Old Boys vs Chorley?

The Mind pick is Chorley to win with a Mind Score of 62, priced around 1.40 by the bookmakers.

Who is favourite, Barton Town Old Boys or Chorley?

The model gives Barton Town Old Boys 22%, the draw 16% and Chorley 62%.

What is the likeliest score in Barton Town Old Boys vs Chorley?

The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Barton Town Old Boys 0–1 Chorley.

How many goals are expected in Barton Town Old Boys vs Chorley?

Around 2.6 in total – over 2.5 rates 56% and both teams to score 48%.

When does Barton Town Old Boys vs Chorley kick off?

Saturday 3 October 2026, 15:00 WAT – FA Cup.