Bury Town vs Spalding United prediction: Over 1.5 goals
Bury Town (1.9) plus Spalding United (1.9) puts 3.8 goals on the board. Probability 89%. Bury Town's form is mixed (DDWL, 1 W 2 D 1 L); Spalding United's form is mixed (DLD, 0 W 2 D 1 L). Mind Score 89.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
The ratings barely separate them: Bury Town 40%, draw 20%, Spalding United 40%.
Recent form
Bury Town – sample of six: W L W W L W, with four wins. Most recent: at Bishop's Stortford, 2–1 (won). The attack is running at 2.0 per game.
The last six for Spalding United read L W W W W D (four wins). Most recent: at Chorley, 1–2 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.8 and 0.8 a game.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Bury Town 1.9, Spalding United 1.9 – 3.8 in total. An open profile – over 2.5 64%, BTTS 59%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 89. Likeliest score: Bury Town 2–1 Spalding United. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Bury Town
last 6- W@ Bishop's Stortford2–129 Sep
- L@ St Albans City1–426 Sep
- Wv Hitchin Town1–022 Sep
- W@ Gorleston4–319 Sep
- L@ Bromsgrove Sporting0–112 Sep
- W@ London Lions4–25 Sep
Spalding United
last 6- L@ Chorley1–226 Sep
- Wv Hanley Town2–019 Sep
- Wv Bedford Town2–112 Sep
- W@ Spennymoor Town3–18 Sep
- Wv Southport2–05 Sep
- D@ South Shields1–131 Aug
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
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Brentwood Town3
Dagenham & Redbridge1
Barton Town Old Boys1
Chorley4
Brackley Town0
Chelmsford City2
Bury2
Bromsgrove Sporting1
Buxton0
South Shields2
Cambridge City1
Alvechurch2
Chesham United4
Real Bedford3
Ebbsfleet United1
Sholing2Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Bury Town vs Spalding United?
The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 89.
Who is favourite, Bury Town or Spalding United?
The model gives Bury Town 40%, the draw 20% and Spalding United 40%.
What is the likeliest score in Bury Town vs Spalding United?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Bury Town 2–1 Spalding United.
How many goals are expected in Bury Town vs Spalding United?
Around 3.8 in total – over 2.5 rates 64% and both teams to score 59%.
When does Bury Town vs Spalding United kick off?
Saturday 3 October 2026, 15:00 WAT – FA Cup.