421 matches analysed today 58 live now 30-day hit rate 74% 12:54 WATTelegram18+
England FA Cup Sat 3 Oct 2026 Full time

Ebbsfleet United

DDWWD
1–2
Half-time 1–1

Sholing

WLWDW
66%Ebbsfleet United17%Draw16%Sholing

Ebbsfleet United vs Sholing prediction: Ebbsfleet United to win

The Mind pick · Missed ✗ Ebbsfleet United to win

The model lands a Ebbsfleet United win in 66% of simulations. Ebbsfleet United's last 5 reads WDWWL – 3 wins; Sholing's form is mixed (DDLWD, 1 W 3 D 1 L). The 1.28 price is thin on its own; it works best inside a combo.

66Mind Score Odds1.28 Score2–0

The crowd's call

Fans' vote

Voting closed at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Ebbsfleet United1.2866% X · Draw5.5017% 2 · Sholing6.5016%

Double chance

1X1.0784% 121.1083% X23.2034%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.2878% · fair Under 1.54.5422% · fair

Goals 2.5

Over 2.51.5059% Under 2.52.5041%

Goals 3.5

Over 3.53.1032% · fair Under 3.51.4868% · fair

Both teams to score

GG · Yes2.1447% · fair NG · No1.8853% · fair

Half-time result

HT 11.6747% HT X2.6239% HT 27.0015%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

Ebbsfleet United are clear favourites at 66% – the ratings gap plus home advantage does the work.

Recent form

Ebbsfleet United bring a D W W D D W line into this one: three wins from six. Most recent: at Slough Town, 1–1 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.5 and 0.7 a game.

The last six for Sholing read W D W L W W (four wins). Most recent: v Berkhamsted, 2–0 (won). Goals for and against: 1.2 and 0.5 a game. 5 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.

Expected goals

Expected goals: Ebbsfleet United 2.0, Sholing 0.8 – 2.9 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 59%, BTTS 47%.

The pick (settled)

The pre-match Mind pick was Ebbsfleet United to win – Mind Score 66, bookmaker price around 1.28 against a fair 1.51. Likeliest score: Ebbsfleet United 2–0 Sholing. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.

Ebbsfleet United

last 6
  • D@ Slough Town1–129 Sep
  • W@ Tonbridge Angels2–126 Sep
  • W@ Maidenhead3–119 Sep
  • Dv Salisbury1–112 Sep
  • Dv Hemel Hempstead Town0–08 Sep
  • W@ Walton & Hersham2–05 Sep
1.5scored / game0.7conceded67%GG33%over 2.5

Sholing

last 6
  • Wv Berkhamsted2–029 Sep
  • D@ Yate Town0–026 Sep
  • W@ Tiverton Town1–019 Sep
  • Lv Plymouth Parkway1–312 Sep
  • Wv Andover New Street2–05 Sep
  • Wv Gosport Borough1–031 Aug
1.2scored / game0.5conceded17%GG17%over 2.5

Head-to-head

Every meeting →

No previous meeting in our data.

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Frequently asked questions

What is the FootyMind prediction for Ebbsfleet United vs Sholing?

The Mind pick is Ebbsfleet United to win with a Mind Score of 66, priced around 1.28 by the bookmakers.

Who is favourite, Ebbsfleet United or Sholing?

The model gives Ebbsfleet United 66%, the draw 17% and Sholing 16%.

What is the likeliest score in Ebbsfleet United vs Sholing?

The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Ebbsfleet United 2–0 Sholing.

How many goals are expected in Ebbsfleet United vs Sholing?

Around 2.9 in total – over 2.5 rates 59% and both teams to score 47%.

When does Ebbsfleet United vs Sholing kick off?

Saturday 3 October 2026, 15:00 WAT – FA Cup.