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Friendlies Mon 16 Nov 2026 · Ashton Gate Stadium Upcoming
Monday · WAT
34%England U2131%Draw35%France U21

England U21 vs France U21 prediction: Over 1.5 goals

The Mind pick Over 1.5 goals

An open game on paper: 2.9 projected goals. Probability 77%. The 1.22 price is thin on its own; it works best inside a combo.

77Mind Score Odds1.22 Score1–2

Your call: who wins?

Fans' vote

Vote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · England U212.1034% X · Draw3.5031% 2 · France U212.8035%

Double chance

1X1.4065% 121.2569% X21.5366%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.2277% Under 1.54.0023%

Goals 2.5

Over 2.51.7354% Under 2.52.0846%

Goals 3.5

Over 3.52.7533% Under 3.51.4067%

Both teams to score

GG · Yes1.6254% NG · No2.2046%

Half-time result

HT 12.7528% HT X2.3041% HT 23.5031%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

A near-even split in the model – home 34%, draw 31%, away 35%.

Recent form

England U21 – sample of six: L L D W W D, with two wins. Most recent: v Portugal U21, 0–1 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.7 and 1.3 a game.

The last six for France U21 read L W W W L W (four wins). Most recent: v Italy U21, 1–2 (lost). The attack is running at 2.5 per game.

Expected goals

Expected goals: England U21 1.4, France U21 1.5 – 2.9 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 54%, BTTS 54%.

The pick

Pick: Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 77, bookmaker price around 1.22 against a fair 1.29. Likeliest score: England U21 1–2 France U21. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.

England U21

last 6
  • Lv Portugal U210–113 Nov
  • L@ Republic of Ireland U211–36 Oct
  • Dv Slovakia U210–02 Oct
  • Wv Kazakhstan U214–225 Sep
  • Wv Moldova U214–131 Mar
  • D@ Andorra U211–127 Mar
1.7scored / game1.3conceded67%GG50%over 2.5

France U21

last 6
  • Lv Italy U211–213 Nov
  • Wv Switzerland U217–16 Oct
  • Wv Luxembourg U213–23 Oct
  • W@ Estonia U212–029 Sep
  • Lv Japan U181–327 Sep
  • Wv Ukraine U181–025 Sep
2.5scored / game1.3conceded67%GG67%over 2.5

Head-to-head

Every meeting →

No previous meeting in our data.

More Friendlies predictions

League page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the FootyMind prediction for England U21 vs France U21?

The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 77, priced around 1.22 by the bookmakers.

Who is favourite, England U21 or France U21?

The model gives England U21 34%, the draw 31% and France U21 35%.

What is the likeliest score in England U21 vs France U21?

The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is England U21 1–2 France U21.

How many goals are expected in England U21 vs France U21?

Around 2.9 in total – over 2.5 rates 54% and both teams to score 54%.

When does England U21 vs France U21 kick off?

Monday 16 November 2026, 20:30 WAT, at Ashton Gate Stadium – Friendlies.