Dover vs Burgess Hill Town prediction: Over 2.5 goals
An open game on paper: 4.9 projected goals. Mind Score 73. Dover have taken 3 wins from 4 (WWWL); Burgess Hill Town arrive off a defeat (LDDL). The bookmaker's 1.53 beats the model's fair price of 1.37.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
Dover edge it at home, 58% to 20%, with the draw on 22%.
Recent form
Dover – sample of six: W W L D W D, with three wins. Most recent: v Wealdstone, 2–0 (won). Goals for and against: 1.3 and 0.8 a game.
The last six for Burgess Hill Town read D D L L D W (one win). Most recent: at Chatham Town, 1–1 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.5 and 2.7 a game. Zero clean sheets across the sample.
Head-to-head
Latest (Jul 2026): Dover 1–0 Burgess Hill Town. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Dover 3.0, Burgess Hill Town 1.9 – 4.9 in total. An open profile – over 2.5 73%, BTTS 68%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Over 2.5 goals – Mind Score 73, bookmaker price around 1.53 against a fair 1.37. Likeliest score: Dover 2–1 Burgess Hill Town. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Dover
last 6- Wv Wealdstone2–07 Nov
- Wv Farnham Town1–031 Oct
- Lv Chelmsford City0–127 Oct
- D@ Salisbury1–124 Oct
- Wv Dorking Wanderers3–217 Oct
- Dv Dorking Wanderers1–110 Oct
Burgess Hill Town
last 6- D@ Chatham Town1–17 Nov
- D@ Wingate & Finchley1–13 Nov
- Lv Enfield Town0–631 Oct
- L@ St Albans City1–327 Oct
- D@ Erith Town3–324 Oct
- W@ Whyteleafe3–221 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 25 Jul 2026Dover1–0Burgess Hill Town
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Kettering Town3Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Dover vs Burgess Hill Town?
The Mind pick is Over 2.5 goals with a Mind Score of 73, priced around 1.53 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Dover or Burgess Hill Town?
The model gives Dover 58%, the draw 22% and Burgess Hill Town 20%.
What is the likeliest score in Dover vs Burgess Hill Town?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Dover 2–1 Burgess Hill Town.
How many goals are expected in Dover vs Burgess Hill Town?
Around 4.9 in total – over 2.5 rates 73% and both teams to score 68%.
When does Dover vs Burgess Hill Town kick off?
Saturday 14 November 2026, 16:00 WAT – FA Trophy.