412 matches analysed today 9 live now 30-day hit rate 74% 10:55 WATTelegram18+
England FA Trophy Sat 14 Nov 2026 · Gallagher Stadium Full time
2–2
Half-time 1–0Pens 3–5
63%Maidstone Utd19%Draw18%Maidenhead

Maidstone Utd vs Maidenhead prediction: Maidstone Utd to win

The Mind pick · Missed ✗ Maidstone Utd to win

The model lands a Maidstone Utd win in 63% of simulations. Maidstone Utd's form is mixed (DWWL, 2 W 1 D 1 L); Maidenhead's form is mixed (DDDD, 0 W 4 D 0 L). Price check: 1.82 on offer against a fair 1.60 – a positive edge.

63Mind Score Odds1.82 Score1–0

The crowd's call

Fans' vote

Voting closed at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Maidstone Utd1.8263% X · Draw3.3819% 2 · Maidenhead3.6618%

Double chance

1X1.1882% 121.2281% X21.7637%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.2474% Under 1.53.3426%

Goals 2.5

Over 2.51.8350% Under 2.51.8350%

Goals 3.5

Over 3.53.0529% Under 3.51.2871%

Both teams to score

GG · Yes1.7355% NG · No1.9545%

Half-time result

HT 12.4244% HT X2.1141% HT 24.3316%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

The model makes Maidstone Utd strong home favourites (63%).

Recent form

Maidstone Utd bring a D W W L D W line into this one: three wins from six. Most recent: v Maidenhead, 2–2 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.7 and 1.5 a game. Zero clean sheets across the sample.

The last six for Maidenhead read D D D L L L (zero wins). Most recent: at Hampton & Richmond, 1–1 (drawn). Output has stalled at 0.5 goals a game.

Head-to-head

Latest (Oct 2026): Maidstone Utd 2–1 Maidenhead. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.

Expected goals

Expected goals: Maidstone Utd 1.8, Maidenhead 0.8 – 2.7 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 50%, BTTS 55%.

The pick (settled)

The pre-match Mind pick was Maidstone Utd to win – Mind Score 63, bookmaker price around 1.82 against a fair 1.60. Likeliest score: Maidstone Utd 1–0 Maidenhead. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.

Maidstone Utd

last 6
  • Dv Maidenhead2–214 Nov
  • W@ Hemel Hempstead Town2–17 Nov
  • Wv Slough Town2–131 Oct
  • Lv Ebbsfleet United1–327 Oct
  • D@ Torquay1–124 Oct
  • Wv Maidenhead2–117 Oct
1.7scored / game1.5conceded100%GG83%over 2.5

Maidenhead

last 6
  • D@ Hampton & Richmond1–17 Nov
  • Dv Dagenham & Redbridge0–031 Oct
  • Dv Horsham1–127 Oct
  • L@ Ebbsfleet United0–424 Oct
  • L@ Maidstone Utd1–217 Oct
  • Lv Tonbridge Angels0–110 Oct
0.5scored / game1.5conceded50%GG33%over 2.5

Head-to-head

Every meeting →
  • 17 Oct 2026Maidstone Utd2–1Maidenhead

More FA Trophy predictions

League page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the FootyMind prediction for Maidstone Utd vs Maidenhead?

The Mind pick is Maidstone Utd to win with a Mind Score of 63, priced around 1.82 by the bookmakers.

Who is favourite, Maidstone Utd or Maidenhead?

The model gives Maidstone Utd 63%, the draw 19% and Maidenhead 18%.

What is the likeliest score in Maidstone Utd vs Maidenhead?

The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Maidstone Utd 1–0 Maidenhead.

How many goals are expected in Maidstone Utd vs Maidenhead?

Around 2.7 in total – over 2.5 rates 50% and both teams to score 55%.

When does Maidstone Utd vs Maidenhead kick off?

Saturday 14 November 2026, 16:00 WAT, at Gallagher Stadium – FA Trophy.