Maidstone Utd vs Maidenhead prediction: Maidstone Utd to win
The model lands a Maidstone Utd win in 63% of simulations. Maidstone Utd's form is mixed (DWWL, 2 W 1 D 1 L); Maidenhead's form is mixed (DDDD, 0 W 4 D 0 L). Price check: 1.82 on offer against a fair 1.60 – a positive edge.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
The model makes Maidstone Utd strong home favourites (63%).
Recent form
Maidstone Utd bring a D W W L D W line into this one: three wins from six. Most recent: v Maidenhead, 2–2 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.7 and 1.5 a game. Zero clean sheets across the sample.
The last six for Maidenhead read D D D L L L (zero wins). Most recent: at Hampton & Richmond, 1–1 (drawn). Output has stalled at 0.5 goals a game.
Head-to-head
Latest (Oct 2026): Maidstone Utd 2–1 Maidenhead. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Maidstone Utd 1.8, Maidenhead 0.8 – 2.7 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 50%, BTTS 55%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Maidstone Utd to win – Mind Score 63, bookmaker price around 1.82 against a fair 1.60. Likeliest score: Maidstone Utd 1–0 Maidenhead. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Maidstone Utd
last 6- Dv Maidenhead2–214 Nov
- W@ Hemel Hempstead Town2–17 Nov
- Wv Slough Town2–131 Oct
- Lv Ebbsfleet United1–327 Oct
- D@ Torquay1–124 Oct
- Wv Maidenhead2–117 Oct
Maidenhead
last 6- D@ Hampton & Richmond1–17 Nov
- Dv Dagenham & Redbridge0–031 Oct
- Dv Horsham1–127 Oct
- L@ Ebbsfleet United0–424 Oct
- L@ Maidstone Utd1–217 Oct
- Lv Tonbridge Angels0–110 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 17 Oct 2026Maidstone Utd2–1Maidenhead
More FA Trophy predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Maidstone Utd vs Maidenhead?
The Mind pick is Maidstone Utd to win with a Mind Score of 63, priced around 1.82 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Maidstone Utd or Maidenhead?
The model gives Maidstone Utd 63%, the draw 19% and Maidenhead 18%.
What is the likeliest score in Maidstone Utd vs Maidenhead?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Maidstone Utd 1–0 Maidenhead.
How many goals are expected in Maidstone Utd vs Maidenhead?
Around 2.7 in total – over 2.5 rates 50% and both teams to score 55%.
When does Maidstone Utd vs Maidenhead kick off?
Saturday 14 November 2026, 16:00 WAT, at Gallagher Stadium – FA Trophy.

