421 matches analysed today 69 live now 30-day hit rate 74% 13:36 WATTelegram18+
England FA Trophy Sat 14 Nov 2026 Full time

Merthyr Town

DLLDW
4–1
Half-time 1–1

Harborough Town

WDLDL
26%Merthyr Town53%Draw21%Harborough Town

Merthyr Town vs Harborough Town prediction: Merthyr Town or draw

The Mind pick · Landed ✓ Merthyr Town or draw

Merthyr Town avoid defeat in 79% of the model's runs. Merthyr Town won most recently (WWL); Harborough Town have no win in 3 (LLL). The bookmaker's 1.34 beats the model's fair price of 1.26.

79Mind Score Odds1.34 Score1–1

The crowd's call

Fans' vote

Voting closed at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Merthyr Town2.1626% X · Draw3.4853% 2 · Harborough Town2.7221%

Double chance

1X1.3479% 121.2147% X21.5374%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.1579% Under 1.54.2021%

Goals 2.5

Over 2.51.5858% Under 2.52.1842%

Goals 3.5

Over 3.52.4236% Under 3.51.4464%

Both teams to score

GG · Yes1.5062% NG · No2.3438%

Half-time result

HT 12.6932% HT X2.2640% HT 23.3028%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

The ratings barely separate them: Merthyr Town 26%, draw 53%, Harborough Town 21%.

Recent form

Merthyr Town – sample of six: W D L L D D, with one win. Most recent: v Hebburn Town, 4–1 (won). Goals for and against: 1.7 and 2.0 a game. Zero clean sheets across the sample.

The last six for Harborough Town read L D L D W W (two wins). Most recent: at Leyton Orient, 1–5 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.2 and 1.8 a game.

Expected goals

Expected goals: Merthyr Town 1.6, Harborough Town 1.4 – 3.0 in total. An open profile – over 2.5 58%, BTTS 62%.

The pick (settled)

The pre-match Mind pick was Merthyr Town or draw – Mind Score 79, bookmaker price around 1.34 against a fair 1.26. Likeliest score: Merthyr Town 1–1 Harborough Town. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.

Merthyr Town

last 6
  • Wv Hebburn Town4–17 Nov
  • D@ Radcliffe3–331 Oct
  • L@ Oxford City0–327 Oct
  • Lv Morecambe1–324 Oct
  • Dv King's Lynn Town1–117 Oct
  • D@ Darlington 18831–110 Oct
1.7scored / game2.0conceded83%GG67%over 2.5

Harborough Town

last 6
  • L@ Leyton Orient1–57 Nov
  • D@ Hebburn Town1–131 Oct
  • L@ Buxton0–327 Oct
  • Dv Worksop Town1–124 Oct
  • Wv Spennymoor Town3–117 Oct
  • Wv Southport1–010 Oct
1.2scored / game1.8conceded67%GG50%over 2.5

Head-to-head

Every meeting →

No previous meeting in our data.

More FA Trophy predictions

League page →
FT AFC Telford United1Chelmsford City1Pens 6–5 265321 Pick landed ✓Home or drawMS 79@1.34
FT Alfreton Town0Southport1 342046 Pick missed ✗Both teams scoreMS 65@1.46
FT Avro4Chester1 231463 Pick missed ✗Away winMS 63@1.78
FT Bath City0Truro City1 132463 Pick landed ✓Away winMS 62@1.54
FT Bedford Town1Chesham United1Pens 4–5 572122 Pick landed ✓Home or drawMS 79@1.25
FT Billericay Town3Waltham Abbey1 731710 Pick landed ✓Home winMS 73@1.25
FT Bourne Town0Bromsgrove Sporting2 91873 Pick landed ✓Away winMS 73@1.25
FT Braintree2Kettering Town3 631225 Pick landed ✓Over 2.5 goalsMS 72@1.43

Frequently asked questions

What is the FootyMind prediction for Merthyr Town vs Harborough Town?

The Mind pick is Merthyr Town or draw with a Mind Score of 79, priced around 1.34 by the bookmakers.

Who is favourite, Merthyr Town or Harborough Town?

The model gives Merthyr Town 26%, the draw 53% and Harborough Town 21%.

What is the likeliest score in Merthyr Town vs Harborough Town?

The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Merthyr Town 1–1 Harborough Town.

How many goals are expected in Merthyr Town vs Harborough Town?

Around 3.0 in total – over 2.5 rates 58% and both teams to score 62%.

When does Merthyr Town vs Harborough Town kick off?

Saturday 14 November 2026, 16:00 WAT – FA Trophy.