Ario Eslamshahr vs Saipa prediction: Under 3.5 goals
1.5 projected goals keeps this under 3.5. The line lands in 93% of the model's runs. Saipa's form is mixed (DDL, 0 W 2 D 1 L). Mind Score 93.
Your call: who wins?
Fans' voteVote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
A modest home lean: Ario Eslamshahr 39%, Saipa 31%, draw 30%. Table: Ario Eslamshahr 7th (13 pts), Saipa 10th (12 pts).
Recent form
The last six for Ario Eslamshahr read D L L W W L (two wins). Most recent: at Novin Ahvaz, 0–0 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.0 and 0.8 a game. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
The last six for Saipa read D D L D L L (zero wins). Most recent: v Havadar, 0–0 (drawn). Output has stalled at 0.2 goals a game.
Head-to-head
Latest (Jun 2026): Saipa 1–0 Ario Eslamshahr. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Ario Eslamshahr 0.9, Saipa 0.7 – 1.5 in total. Few chances projected: under 2.5 at 78%.
The pick
The Mind pick: Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 93. Likeliest score: Ario Eslamshahr 1–0 Saipa. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Ario Eslamshahr
last 6- D@ Novin Ahvaz0–09 Nov
- Lv Fard Alborz0–32 Nov
- L@ Pars Jonoubi JAM0–127 Oct
- Wv Naft Bandar Abbas4–020 Oct
- Wv Be'sat Kermanshah2–012 Oct
- L@ Mes Rafsanjan0–15 Oct
Saipa
last 6- Dv Havadar0–09 Nov
- D@ Be'sat Kermanshah0–02 Nov
- Lv Naft Gachsaran0–127 Oct
- D@ Naft Masjed Soleyman1–119 Oct
- Lv Shenavarsazi Qeshm0–112 Oct
- L@ Shahin Bandar Ameri0–24 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 21 Jun 2026Saipa1–0Ario Eslamshahr
Azadegan League table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Pars Jonoubi JAM | 9 | +8 | 21 |
| 2 |  Shenavarsazi Qeshm | 9 | +4 | 18 |
| 3 |  Fard Alborz | 9 | +9 | 17 |
| 4 |  Mes Rafsanjan | 9 | +5 | 16 |
| 5 |  Mes Soongoun | 9 | +1 | 15 |
| 6 |  Shahin Bandar Ameri | 9 | 0 | 13 |
| 7 |  Ario Eslamshahr | 9 | 0 | 13 |
| 8 |  Naft Gachsaran | 9 | +1 | 12 |
| 9 |  Novin Ahvaz | 9 | +1 | 12 |
| 10 |  Saipa | 9 | 0 | 12 |
| 11 |  Naft Masjed Soleyman | 9 | +2 | 11 |
| 12 |  Be'sat Kermanshah | 9 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 |  Mes Kerman | 9 | -3 | 7 |
| 14 |  Naft Bandar Abbas | 9 | -8 | 7 |
| 15 |  Niroye Zamini | 9 | -9 | 4 |
| 16 |  Havadar | 9 | -9 | 4 |
More Azadegan League predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Ario Eslamshahr vs Saipa?
The Mind pick is Under 3.5 goals with a Mind Score of 93.
Who is favourite, Ario Eslamshahr or Saipa?
The model gives Ario Eslamshahr 39%, the draw 30% and Saipa 31%.
What is the likeliest score in Ario Eslamshahr vs Saipa?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Ario Eslamshahr 1–0 Saipa.
How many goals are expected in Ario Eslamshahr vs Saipa?
Around 1.5 in total – over 2.5 rates 22% and both teams to score 36%.
When does Ario Eslamshahr vs Saipa kick off?
Monday 16 November 2026, 12:30 WAT – Azadegan League.