Naft Gachsaran vs Niroye Zamini prediction: Under 3.5 goals
Only 2.1 goals projected – a low-event game. Probability 83%. Naft Gachsaran were beaten last time (LWW). Mind Score 83.
Your call: who wins?
Fans' voteVote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
A modest home lean: Naft Gachsaran 49%, Niroye Zamini 27%, draw 24%. Table: Naft Gachsaran 8th (12 pts), Niroye Zamini 15th (4 pts).
Recent form
The last six for Naft Gachsaran read L W W W L D (three wins). Most recent: at Mes Soongoun, 1–2 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.5 and 1.2 a game.
Niroye Zamini – sample of six: L L L L L D, with zero wins. Most recent: v Shahin Bandar Ameri, 1–2 (lost). Just 0.5 goals per game in that run – a weak attacking signal.
Head-to-head
Latest (Jun 2026): Naft Gachsaran 0–3 Niroye Zamini. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Naft Gachsaran 1.4, Niroye Zamini 0.8 – 2.1 in total. Few chances projected: under 2.5 at 64%.
The pick
The Mind pick: Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 83. Likeliest score: Naft Gachsaran 1–0 Niroye Zamini. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Naft Gachsaran
last 6- L@ Mes Soongoun1–29 Nov
- Wv Mes Kerman2–12 Nov
- W@ Saipa1–027 Oct
- Wv Fard Alborz4–219 Oct
- L@ Pars Jonoubi JAM0–112 Oct
- Dv Novin Ahvaz1–14 Oct
Niroye Zamini
last 6- Lv Shahin Bandar Ameri1–28 Nov
- L@ Naft Masjed Soleyman0–21 Nov
- Lv Shenavarsazi Qeshm1–226 Oct
- L@ Mes Rafsanjan1–420 Oct
- L@ Mes Soongoun0–112 Oct
- Dv Mes Kerman0–05 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 15 Jun 2026Naft Gachsaran0–3Niroye Zamini
Azadegan League table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Pars Jonoubi JAM | 9 | +8 | 21 |
| 2 |  Shenavarsazi Qeshm | 9 | +4 | 18 |
| 3 |  Fard Alborz | 9 | +9 | 17 |
| 4 |  Mes Rafsanjan | 9 | +5 | 16 |
| 5 |  Mes Soongoun | 9 | +1 | 15 |
| 6 |  Shahin Bandar Ameri | 9 | 0 | 13 |
| 7 |  Ario Eslamshahr | 9 | 0 | 13 |
| 8 |  Naft Gachsaran | 9 | +1 | 12 |
| 9 |  Novin Ahvaz | 9 | +1 | 12 |
| 10 |  Saipa | 9 | 0 | 12 |
| 11 |  Naft Masjed Soleyman | 9 | +2 | 11 |
| 12 |  Be'sat Kermanshah | 9 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 |  Mes Kerman | 9 | -3 | 7 |
| 14 |  Naft Bandar Abbas | 9 | -8 | 7 |
| 15 |  Niroye Zamini | 9 | -9 | 4 |
| 16 |  Havadar | 9 | -9 | 4 |
More Azadegan League predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Naft Gachsaran vs Niroye Zamini?
The Mind pick is Under 3.5 goals with a Mind Score of 83.
Who is favourite, Naft Gachsaran or Niroye Zamini?
The model gives Naft Gachsaran 49%, the draw 24% and Niroye Zamini 27%.
What is the likeliest score in Naft Gachsaran vs Niroye Zamini?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Naft Gachsaran 1–0 Niroye Zamini.
How many goals are expected in Naft Gachsaran vs Niroye Zamini?
Around 2.1 in total – over 2.5 rates 36% and both teams to score 43%.
When does Naft Gachsaran vs Niroye Zamini kick off?
Monday 16 November 2026, 14:00 WAT – Azadegan League.