Naft Bandar Abbas vs Fard Alborz prediction: Under 3.5 goals
2.1 projected goals keeps this under 3.5. Mind Score 84. Fard Alborz won most recently (WWD). Mind Score 84.
Your call: who wins?
Fans' voteVote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
A slight away lean – Fard Alborz 46%, Naft Bandar Abbas 29%. Table: Naft Bandar Abbas 14th (7 pts), Fard Alborz 3rd (17 pts).
Recent form
Naft Bandar Abbas – sample of six: L L D L D L, with zero wins. Most recent: at Pars Jonoubi JAM, 1–4 (lost). Just 0.5 goals per game in that run – a weak attacking signal.
The last six for Fard Alborz read W W D L W L (three wins). Most recent: v Be'sat Kermanshah, 4–1 (won). The attack is running at 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Head-to-head
Latest (May 2026): Naft Bandar Abbas 1–0 Fard Alborz. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Naft Bandar Abbas 0.8, Fard Alborz 1.3 – 2.1 in total. Few chances projected: under 2.5 at 65%.
The pick
Where the model lands: Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 84. Likeliest score: Naft Bandar Abbas 0–1 Fard Alborz. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Naft Bandar Abbas
last 6- L@ Pars Jonoubi JAM1–49 Nov
- Lv Novin Ahvaz0–12 Nov
- Dv Mes Rafsanjan0–027 Oct
- L@ Ario Eslamshahr0–420 Oct
- Dv Havadar1–112 Oct
- L@ Be'sat Kermanshah1–25 Oct
Fard Alborz
last 6- Wv Be'sat Kermanshah4–18 Nov
- W@ Ario Eslamshahr3–02 Nov
- Dv Havadar0–026 Oct
- L@ Naft Gachsaran2–419 Oct
- Wv Shahin Bandar Ameri3–011 Oct
- L@ Naft Masjed Soleyman0–14 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 27 May 2026Naft Bandar Abbas1–0Fard Alborz
Azadegan League table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Pars Jonoubi JAM | 9 | +8 | 21 |
| 2 |  Shenavarsazi Qeshm | 9 | +4 | 18 |
| 3 |  Fard Alborz | 9 | +9 | 17 |
| 4 |  Mes Rafsanjan | 9 | +5 | 16 |
| 5 |  Mes Soongoun | 9 | +1 | 15 |
| 6 |  Shahin Bandar Ameri | 9 | 0 | 13 |
| 7 |  Ario Eslamshahr | 9 | 0 | 13 |
| 8 |  Naft Gachsaran | 9 | +1 | 12 |
| 9 |  Novin Ahvaz | 9 | +1 | 12 |
| 10 |  Saipa | 9 | 0 | 12 |
| 11 |  Naft Masjed Soleyman | 9 | +2 | 11 |
| 12 |  Be'sat Kermanshah | 9 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 |  Mes Kerman | 9 | -3 | 7 |
| 14 |  Naft Bandar Abbas | 9 | -8 | 7 |
| 15 |  Niroye Zamini | 9 | -9 | 4 |
| 16 |  Havadar | 9 | -9 | 4 |
More Azadegan League predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Naft Bandar Abbas vs Fard Alborz?
The Mind pick is Under 3.5 goals with a Mind Score of 84.
Who is favourite, Naft Bandar Abbas or Fard Alborz?
The model gives Naft Bandar Abbas 29%, the draw 25% and Fard Alborz 46%.
What is the likeliest score in Naft Bandar Abbas vs Fard Alborz?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Naft Bandar Abbas 0–1 Fard Alborz.
How many goals are expected in Naft Bandar Abbas vs Fard Alborz?
Around 2.1 in total – over 2.5 rates 35% and both teams to score 43%.
When does Naft Bandar Abbas vs Fard Alborz kick off?
Monday 16 November 2026, 14:45 WAT – Azadegan League.