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Palestine vs Iran prediction: Over 1.5 goals

The Mind pick Over 1.5 goals

An open game on paper: 2.9 projected goals. Mind Score 75. Price check: 1.30 is close to fair.

75Mind Score Odds1.30 Score0–2

Your call: who wins?

Fans' vote

Vote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Palestine9.359% X · Draw5.2119% 2 · Iran1.3872%

Double chance

1X3.2828% 121.2081% X21.0991%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.3075% Under 1.53.4025%

Goals 2.5

Over 2.51.9653% Under 2.51.9647%

Goals 3.5

Over 3.53.1931% Under 3.51.3469%

Both teams to score

GG · Yes2.1652% NG · No1.6248%

Half-time result

HT 17.3011% HT X2.3037% HT 21.8552%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

The away side carries the numbers: Iran 72%, Palestine 9%.

Recent form

Palestine bring a W W D D D line into this one: two wins from five. Most recent: at China, 5–0 (won). Output is high: 2.2 goals a game across the sample. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.

Iran – sample of six: L L D D D W, with one win. Most recent: at Russia, 0–2 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.2 and 1.5 a game.

Expected goals

Expected goals: Palestine 0.7, Iran 2.2 – 2.9 in total. The grid favours goals: over 2.5 at 53%, both to score at 52%.

The pick

Pick: Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 75, bookmaker price around 1.30 against a fair 1.32. Likeliest score: Palestine 0–2 Iran. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.