Saturday 14 November: the model qualifies 9 games for draws, at an average Mind Score of 48. Top of the list: Versailles vs Rodez – Draw (MS 54).
Games where a draw is the single most likely result. Ranked by Mind Score – open any game for the full analysis.
Coupe De France
Top Mind Score 
Versaillesvs
RodezThe split is tight – home 18%, draw 54%, away 28%. Rodez were beaten last time (LWW). Price check: 3.40 on offer against a fair 1.85 – a positive edge.
Full analysis
FA Trophy
#2 
Merthyr Townvs
Harborough TownNo side separates in the model, which makes the draw (54%) the single likeliest result. Merthyr Town won most recently (WLL); Harborough Town arrive off a defeat (LLD). The bookmaker's 3.34 beats the model's fair price of 1.85.
Full analysisFA Trophy
#3 
Walton & Hershamvs
AveleyThe split is tight – home 26%, draw 53%, away 21%. Walton & Hersham have no win in 4 (LLLL). Price check: 3.48 on offer against a fair 1.88 – a positive edge.
Full analysisFA Trophy
#4 
Darlington 1883vs
BuryThe split is tight – home 27%, draw 53%, away 20%. Darlington 1883's form is mixed (DLW, 1 W 1 D 1 L). Price check: 3.54 on offer against a fair 1.89 – a positive edge.
Full analysis9 qualifying games on Saturday 14 November, average Mind Score 48. Highest still to play: Versailles vs Rodez (Coupe De France) – Draw, MS 54. Leagues with the most entries: England FA Trophy (6), Brazil Copa Fares Lopes (1), France Coupe De France (1). 9 carry a price longer than the model's fair odds.
Games where the draw is the single most likely result in the model.
Any level score pays: 0–0, 1–1, 2–2. Prices usually sit between 2.90 and 3.60.
Evenly matched teams, low projections and sides content with a point.
The model rates each team's attack and defence from roughly a season of results, weighted towards recent games. Those ratings give a goal projection for both sides, and the projection becomes a grid of every possible score. Every market – this one included – is read from that grid, so a match's picks never contradict each other. Bookmaker prices are shown alongside; when the Mind Score beats what the price implies, the pick carries value. Full detail on how the model works.
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Around one in four in most leagues.
Over a large sample, sometimes – expect long losing runs.
Every team carries attack and defence ratings. The model projects each side's goals, builds a grid of every possible score and reads the draws probability straight from it. Highest Mind Scores come first.
The model's probability for the pick, out of 100. MS 70 means roughly seven landings in ten similar games – and three misses.
Never. Every pick settles on the 90-minute score and stays on the Yesterday tab and the track record.
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