New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire prediction: Over 1.5 goals
The goal projection sits at 3.2, clear of the 1.5 line. The line lands in 82% of the model's runs. New England Revolution arrive off a defeat (LLWW); Chicago Fire arrive off a defeat (LWDW). Mind Score 82.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
A near-even split in the model – home 42%, draw 20%, away 38%. Table: New England Revolution 3rd (58 pts), Chicago Fire 4th (55 pts).
Recent form
The last six for New England Revolution read W L L W W W (four wins). Most recent: at FC Cincinnati, 3–2 (won). Goals for and against: 1.8 and 2.0 a game. Zero clean sheets across the sample.
Chicago Fire bring a L W W W L L line into this one: three wins from six. Most recent: v Philadelphia Union, 1–3 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.3 and 1.7 a game.
Head-to-head
Latest (Sep 2026): Chicago Fire 1–2 New England Revolution. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: New England Revolution 1.6, Chicago Fire 1.5 – 3.2 in total. The grid favours goals: over 2.5 at 61%, both to score at 68%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 82. Likeliest score: New England Revolution 2–1 Chicago Fire. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
New England Revolution
last 6- W@ FC Cincinnati3–215 Oct
- Lv Seattle Sounders0–311 Oct
- L@ Real Salt Lake0–327 Sep
- Wv Orlando City SC4–220 Sep
- W@ Chicago Fire2–113 Sep
- W@ New York City FC2–110 Sep
Chicago Fire
last 6- Lv Philadelphia Union1–315 Oct
- Wv New York City FC2–110 Oct
- Wv Vancouver Whitecaps3–17 Oct
- W@ Charlotte1–027 Sep
- L@ Nashville SC0–320 Sep
- Lv New England Revolution1–213 Sep
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 13 Sep 2026Chicago Fire1–2New England Revolution
Major League Soccer table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 34 | +46 | 77 |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 34 | +21 | 60 |
| 3 |  New England Revolution | 34 | +8 | 58 |
| 4 |  Chicago Fire | 34 | +10 | 55 |
| 5 |  Charlotte | 34 | +15 | 54 |
| 6 |  Philadelphia Union | 34 | +14 | 50 |
| 7 |  Columbus Crew | 34 | +7 | 47 |
| 8 |  Orlando City SC | 34 | -15 | 46 |
| 9 |  FC Cincinnati | 34 | -8 | 46 |
| 10 |  New York Red Bulls | 34 | -14 | 42 |
| 11 |  New York City FC | 34 | +4 | 42 |
| 12 |  Toronto FC | 34 | -15 | 39 |
| 13 |  Atlanta United FC | 34 | -17 | 33 |
| 14 |  DC United | 34 | -22 | 33 |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 34 | -32 | 26 |
More Major League Soccer predictions
League page →
Los Angeles FC1
Austin1
Vancouver Whitecaps2
Houston Dynamo2
FC Dallas2
Sporting Kansas City1
Real Salt Lake3
Los Angeles Galaxy2
San Diego2Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire?
The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 82.
Who is favourite, New England Revolution or Chicago Fire?
The model gives New England Revolution 42%, the draw 20% and Chicago Fire 38%.
What is the likeliest score in New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is New England Revolution 2–1 Chicago Fire.
How many goals are expected in New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire?
Around 3.2 in total – over 2.5 rates 61% and both teams to score 68%.
When does New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire kick off?
Sunday 18 October 2026, 00:30 WAT, at Boston Stadium – Major League Soccer.