443 matches analysed today 113 live now 30-day hit rate 74% 14:56 WATTelegram18+
USA Major League Soccer Sun 18 Oct 2026 · Citi Field Full time
1–1
Half-time 0–1
38%New York City FC22%Draw40%Los Angeles FC

New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC prediction: Over 1.5 goals

The Mind pick · Landed ✓ Over 1.5 goals

New York City FC (1.3) plus Los Angeles FC (1.4) puts 2.7 goals on the board. Probability 76%. New York City FC won most recently (WDWD); Los Angeles FC arrive off a defeat (LLD). Mind Score 76.

76Mind Score Odds– Score1–2

The crowd's call

Fans' vote

Voting closed at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · New York City FC2.6238% X · Draw3.2522% 2 · Los Angeles FC2.4040%

Double chance

1X1.5560% 121.3078% X21.4062%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.3276% · fair Under 1.54.1124% · fair

Goals 2.5

Over 2.51.9551% · fair Under 2.52.0649% · fair

Goals 3.5

Over 3.53.4229% · fair Under 3.51.4171% · fair

Both teams to score

GG · Yes1.5759% NG · No2.2541%

Half-time result

HT 13.1028% HT X2.3042% HT 22.8030%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

The ratings barely separate them: New York City FC 38%, draw 22%, Los Angeles FC 40%. Table: New York City FC 11th (42 pts), Los Angeles FC 6th (47 pts).

Recent form

New York City FC – sample of six: L L D L W L, with one win. Most recent: at Inter Miami, 0–2 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.0 and 1.5 a game.

Los Angeles FC – sample of six: W D L D L W, with two wins. Most recent: v Austin, 3–1 (won). Goals for and against: 1.5 and 1.3 a game.

Expected goals

Expected goals: New York City FC 1.3, Los Angeles FC 1.4 – 2.7 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 51%, BTTS 59%.

The pick (settled)

The pre-match Mind pick was Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 76. Likeliest score: New York City FC 1–2 Los Angeles FC. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.

New York City FC

last 6
  • L@ Inter Miami0–215 Oct
  • L@ Chicago Fire1–210 Oct
  • D@ Atlanta United FC2–227 Sep
  • Lv New York Red Bulls0–119 Sep
  • W@ Real Salt Lake2–013 Sep
  • Lv New England Revolution1–210 Sep
1.0scored / game1.5conceded50%GG50%over 2.5

Los Angeles FC

last 6
  • Wv Austin3–115 Oct
  • Dv Vancouver Whitecaps1–111 Oct
  • L@ FC Dallas0–127 Sep
  • D@ San Jose Earthquakes2–220 Sep
  • L@ Sporting Kansas City1–313 Sep
  • Wv New York Red Bulls2–010 Sep
1.5scored / game1.3conceded67%GG50%over 2.5

Head-to-head

Every meeting →

No previous meeting in our data.

Major League Soccer table

League page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps341978+4064
2FC Dallas3416108+1158
3St. Louis City3415910+1154
4San Jose Earthquakes34141010+652
5Houston Dynamo3414911051
6Los Angeles FC34121111+1247
7Portland Timbers3413714+146
8Seattle Sounders34121012-246
9Real Salt Lake3413615+145
10Minnesota United FC34111112-244
11Los Angeles Galaxy34111112-744
12Colorado Rapids3412715-343
13San Diego3491114-638
14Austin3481016-2334
15Sporting Kansas City347522-4126

More Major League Soccer predictions

League page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the FootyMind prediction for New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC?

The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 76.

Who is favourite, New York City FC or Los Angeles FC?

The model gives New York City FC 38%, the draw 22% and Los Angeles FC 40%.

What is the likeliest score in New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC?

The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is New York City FC 1–2 Los Angeles FC.

How many goals are expected in New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC?

Around 2.7 in total – over 2.5 rates 51% and both teams to score 59%.

When does New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC kick off?

Sunday 18 October 2026, 00:30 WAT, at Citi Field – Major League Soccer.