New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC prediction: Over 1.5 goals
New York Red Bulls (1.9) plus Toronto FC (1.4) puts 3.3 goals on the board. Probability 84%. New York Red Bulls's latest result was a win (WLL); Toronto FC were beaten last time (LLW). Mind Score 84.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
A modest home lean: New York Red Bulls 50%, Toronto FC 31%, draw 19%. Table: New York Red Bulls 10th (42 pts), Toronto FC 12th (39 pts).
Recent form
New York Red Bulls – sample of six: L W L W W L, with three wins. Most recent: at DC United, 1–2 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.2 and 1.3 a game.
Toronto FC bring a D W L L L W line into this one: two wins from six. Most recent: v Orlando City SC, 3–3 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.3 and 2.2 a game. Zero clean sheets across the sample.
Expected goals
Expected goals: New York Red Bulls 1.9, Toronto FC 1.4 – 3.3 in total. The grid favours goals: over 2.5 at 64%, both to score at 67%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 84. Likeliest score: New York Red Bulls 2–1 Toronto FC. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
New York Red Bulls
last 6- L@ DC United1–215 Oct
- Wv San Diego4–111 Oct
- Lv St. Louis City0–31 Oct
- W@ New York City FC1–019 Sep
- W@ Columbus Crew1–013 Sep
- L@ Los Angeles FC0–210 Sep
Toronto FC
last 6- Dv Orlando City SC3–315 Oct
- Wv CF Montreal2–110 Oct
- L@ Nashville SC0–227 Sep
- L@ St. Louis City1–320 Sep
- L@ Orlando City SC0–313 Sep
- Wv Nashville SC2–110 Sep
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
Major League Soccer table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 34 | +46 | 77 |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 34 | +21 | 60 |
| 3 |  New England Revolution | 34 | +8 | 58 |
| 4 |  Chicago Fire | 34 | +10 | 55 |
| 5 |  Charlotte | 34 | +15 | 54 |
| 6 |  Philadelphia Union | 34 | +14 | 50 |
| 7 |  Columbus Crew | 34 | +7 | 47 |
| 8 |  Orlando City SC | 34 | -15 | 46 |
| 9 |  FC Cincinnati | 34 | -8 | 46 |
| 10 |  New York Red Bulls | 34 | -14 | 42 |
| 11 |  New York City FC | 34 | +4 | 42 |
| 12 |  Toronto FC | 34 | -15 | 39 |
| 13 |  Atlanta United FC | 34 | -17 | 33 |
| 14 |  DC United | 34 | -22 | 33 |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 34 | -32 | 26 |
More Major League Soccer predictions
League page →
Los Angeles FC1
Austin1
Vancouver Whitecaps2
Houston Dynamo2
FC Dallas2
Sporting Kansas City1
Real Salt Lake3
Los Angeles Galaxy2
San Diego2Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC?
The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 84.
Who is favourite, New York Red Bulls or Toronto FC?
The model gives New York Red Bulls 50%, the draw 19% and Toronto FC 31%.
What is the likeliest score in New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is New York Red Bulls 2–1 Toronto FC.
How many goals are expected in New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC?
Around 3.3 in total – over 2.5 rates 64% and both teams to score 67%.
When does New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC kick off?
Sunday 18 October 2026, 00:30 WAT, at Sports Illustrated Stadium – Major League Soccer.