Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas prediction: Over 1.5 goals
An open game on paper: 3.0 projected goals. The line lands in 80% of the model's runs. Houston Dynamo were beaten last time (LLWD); FC Dallas's latest result was a win (WDLW). Mind Score 80.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
A near-even split in the model – home 41%, draw 22%, away 37%. Table: Houston Dynamo 5th (51 pts), FC Dallas 2nd (58 pts).
Recent form
Houston Dynamo – sample of six: D D L D L W, with one win. Most recent: at San Diego, 3–3 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.5 and 1.8 a game. Zero clean sheets across the sample.
The last six for FC Dallas read W L W D W W (four wins). Most recent: v Seattle Sounders, 1–0 (won). Goals for and against: 1.3 and 0.8 a game. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Head-to-head
Latest (Mar 2026): FC Dallas 4–3 Houston Dynamo. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Houston Dynamo 1.5, FC Dallas 1.5 – 3.0 in total. The grid favours goals: over 2.5 at 58%, both to score at 62%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 80. Likeliest score: Houston Dynamo 2–1 FC Dallas. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Houston Dynamo
last 6- D@ San Diego3–315 Oct
- D@ Minnesota United FC2–211 Oct
- Lv Sporting Kansas City0–227 Sep
- Dv FC Cincinnati2–220 Sep
- L@ San Jose Earthquakes0–113 Sep
- Wv Real Salt Lake2–110 Sep
FC Dallas
last 6- Wv Seattle Sounders1–015 Oct
- L@ Charlotte2–311 Oct
- Wv Los Angeles FC1–027 Sep
- Dv Austin0–020 Sep
- Wv Portland Timbers2–113 Sep
- W@ Minnesota United FC2–110 Sep
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 22 Mar 2026FC Dallas4–3Houston Dynamo
Major League Soccer table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 34 | +40 | 64 |
| 2 |  FC Dallas | 34 | +11 | 58 |
| 3 |  St. Louis City | 34 | +11 | 54 |
| 4 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | +6 | 52 |
| 5 |  Houston Dynamo | 34 | 0 | 51 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 34 | +12 | 47 |
| 7 |  Portland Timbers | 34 | +1 | 46 |
| 8 |  Seattle Sounders | 34 | -2 | 46 |
| 9 |  Real Salt Lake | 34 | +1 | 45 |
| 10 |  Minnesota United FC | 34 | -2 | 44 |
| 11 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | -7 | 44 |
| 12 |  Colorado Rapids | 34 | -3 | 43 |
| 13 |  San Diego | 34 | -6 | 38 |
| 14 |  Austin | 34 | -23 | 34 |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 34 | -41 | 26 |
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Chicago Fire0Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas?
The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 80.
Who is favourite, Houston Dynamo or FC Dallas?
The model gives Houston Dynamo 41%, the draw 22% and FC Dallas 37%.
What is the likeliest score in Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Houston Dynamo 2–1 FC Dallas.
How many goals are expected in Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas?
Around 3.0 in total – over 2.5 rates 58% and both teams to score 62%.
When does Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas kick off?
Sunday 18 October 2026, 01:30 WAT, at BBVA Compass Stadium – Major League Soccer.