Corinthians vs Botafogo prediction: Corinthians or draw
Corinthians avoid defeat in 80% of the model's runs. Price check: 1.22 is close to fair.
Your call: who wins?
Fans' voteVote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
Corinthians edge it at home, 54% to 20%, with the draw on 26%. Table: Corinthians 17th (37 pts), Botafogo 11th (42 pts).
Recent form
Corinthians bring a D W L D L L line into this one: one win from six. Most recent: at Sao Paulo, 0–0 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.2 and 1.7 a game.
Botafogo – sample of six: W L L W D L, with two wins. Most recent: v Atletico-MG, 1–0 (won). Just 0.8 goals per game in that run – a weak attacking signal.
Head-to-head
Latest (May 2026): Botafogo 3–1 Corinthians. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Corinthians 1.6, Botafogo 0.9 – 2.5 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 48%, BTTS 57%.
The pick
Where the model lands: Corinthians or draw – Mind Score 80, bookmaker price around 1.22 against a fair 1.25. Likeliest score: Corinthians 1–0 Botafogo. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Corinthians
last 6- D@ Sao Paulo0–05 Nov
- Wv Mirassol2–031 Oct
- L@ Vasco DA Gama2–324 Oct
- Dv Vitoria1–120 Oct
- L@ Palmeiras1–411 Oct
- L@ Internacional1–27 Oct
Botafogo
last 6- Wv Atletico-MG1–05 Nov
- L@ Remo1–229 Oct
- L@ Internacional0–324 Oct
- Wv Chapecoense-sc1–017 Oct
- D@ Coritiba1–112 Oct
- Lv Vasco DA Gama1–28 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 17 May 2026Botafogo3–1Corinthians
Serie A table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 34 | +42 | 76 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 34 | +39 | 73 |
| 3 |  Cruzeiro | 34 | +7 | 60 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 34 | +13 | 57 |
| 5 |  Atletico Paranaense | 34 | +8 | 54 |
| 6 |  Bahia | 34 | +5 | 53 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 34 | +4 | 50 |
| 8 |  RB Bragantino | 34 | +5 | 47 |
| 9 |  Santos | 34 | +1 | 47 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 34 | 0 | 44 |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 34 | -7 | 42 |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 34 | -11 | 42 |
| 13 |  Vasco DA Gama | 33 | -7 | 41 |
| 14 |  Mirassol | 34 | -9 | 40 |
| 15 |  Vitoria | 34 | -16 | 38 |
| 16 |  Internacional | 34 | -4 | 38 |
| 17 |  Corinthians | 34 | -6 | 37 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 34 | -9 | 37 |
| 19 |  Remo | 34 | -20 | 29 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 33 | -35 | 21 |
More Serie A predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Corinthians vs Botafogo?
The Mind pick is Corinthians or draw with a Mind Score of 80, priced around 1.22 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Corinthians or Botafogo?
The model gives Corinthians 54%, the draw 26% and Botafogo 20%.
What is the likeliest score in Corinthians vs Botafogo?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Corinthians 1–0 Botafogo.
How many goals are expected in Corinthians vs Botafogo?
Around 2.5 in total – over 2.5 rates 48% and both teams to score 57%.
When does Corinthians vs Botafogo kick off?
Thursday 19 November 2026, 01:30 WAT, at Neo Quimica Arena – Serie A.