Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras prediction: Over 1.5 goals
Cruzeiro (1.2) plus Palmeiras (1.6) puts 2.8 goals on the board. Probability 78%. Palmeiras arrive off a defeat (LWWD). Price check: 1.22 is shorter than fair – better as an accumulator leg.
Your call: who wins?
Fans' voteVote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
Palmeiras shade it on the road, 45% to 31%. Table: Cruzeiro 3rd (60 pts), Palmeiras 2nd (73 pts).
Recent form
The last six for Cruzeiro read W W W W L W (five wins). Most recent: v Bahia, 3–2 (won). Output is high: 2.2 goals a game across the sample. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Palmeiras bring a L W W D W L line into this one: three wins from six. Most recent: at Vasco DA Gama, 1–2 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.7 and 0.7 a game. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Head-to-head
Latest (May 2026): Palmeiras 1–1 Cruzeiro. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Cruzeiro 1.2, Palmeiras 1.6 – 2.8 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 54%, BTTS 60%.
The pick
The Mind pick: Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 78, bookmaker price around 1.22 against a fair 1.29. Likeliest score: Cruzeiro 1–2 Palmeiras. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Cruzeiro
last 6- Wv Bahia3–26 Nov
- W@ Atletico-MG1–029 Oct
- Wv Remo1–024 Oct
- W@ Gremio4–218 Oct
- L@ RB Bragantino2–413 Oct
- Wv Sao Paulo2–08 Oct
Palmeiras
last 6- L@ Vasco DA Gama1–28 Nov
- Wv Remo6–15 Nov
- Wv Vasco DA Gama1–01 Nov
- D@ Santos0–028 Oct
- Wv RB Bragantino2–024 Oct
- Lv Fluminense0–122 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 17 May 2026Palmeiras1–1Cruzeiro
Serie A table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 34 | +42 | 76 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 34 | +39 | 73 |
| 3 |  Cruzeiro | 34 | +7 | 60 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 34 | +13 | 57 |
| 5 |  Atletico Paranaense | 34 | +8 | 54 |
| 6 |  Bahia | 34 | +5 | 53 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 34 | +4 | 50 |
| 8 |  RB Bragantino | 34 | +5 | 47 |
| 9 |  Santos | 34 | +1 | 47 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 34 | 0 | 44 |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 34 | -7 | 42 |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 34 | -11 | 42 |
| 13 |  Vasco DA Gama | 33 | -7 | 41 |
| 14 |  Mirassol | 34 | -9 | 40 |
| 15 |  Vitoria | 34 | -16 | 38 |
| 16 |  Internacional | 34 | -4 | 38 |
| 17 |  Corinthians | 34 | -6 | 37 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 34 | -9 | 37 |
| 19 |  Remo | 34 | -20 | 29 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 33 | -35 | 21 |
More Serie A predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras?
The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 78, priced around 1.22 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Cruzeiro or Palmeiras?
The model gives Cruzeiro 31%, the draw 24% and Palmeiras 45%.
What is the likeliest score in Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Cruzeiro 1–2 Palmeiras.
How many goals are expected in Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras?
Around 2.8 in total – over 2.5 rates 54% and both teams to score 60%.
When does Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras kick off?
Thursday 19 November 2026, 00:30 WAT, at Estádio Mineirão – Serie A.