Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification Mon 16 Nov 2026 Upcoming

Benin

LDWLW

26%Central African Republic16%Draw58%Benin

Central African Republic vs Benin prediction: Under 3.5 goals

The Mind pick Under 3.5 goals

Only 2.4 goals projected – a low-event game. Probability 77%. The 1.22 price is thin on its own; it works best inside a combo.

77Mind Score Odds1.22 Score0–1

Your call: who wins?

Fans' vote

Vote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Central African Republic5.5026% X · Draw3.9016% 2 · Benin1.5058%

Double chance

1X2.4042% 121.2084% X21.0874%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.4068% Under 1.52.7532%

Goals 2.5

Over 2.52.2043% Under 2.51.6557%

Goals 3.5

Over 3.54.0023% Under 3.51.2277%

Both teams to score

GG · Yes2.3842% NG · No1.5358%

Half-time result

HT 16.5018% HT X2.1044% HT 22.1038%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

Benin shade it on the road, 58% to 26%. Table: Central African Republic 4th (3 pts), Benin 2nd (8 pts).

Recent form

Central African Republic bring a L L L L D line into this one: zero wins from five. Most recent: at Benin, 1–4 (lost). Just 0.6 goals per game in that run – a weak attacking signal. Zero clean sheets across the sample.

Benin bring a W L W D L D line into this one: two wins from six. Most recent: v Central African Republic, 4–1 (won). Goals for and against: 1.5 and 2.0 a game. Zero clean sheets across the sample.

Head-to-head

Latest (Nov 2026): Benin 4–1 Central African Republic. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.

Expected goals

Expected goals: Central African Republic 0.9, Benin 1.6 – 2.4 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 43%, BTTS 42%.

The pick

The Mind pick: Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 77, bookmaker price around 1.22 against a fair 1.30. Likeliest score: Central African Republic 0–1 Benin. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.