Hereford vs South Shields prediction: Under 3.5 goals
The model sees few chances: 2.1 goals in total. Mind Score 83. Hereford were beaten last time (LDWL); South Shields carry a 3-match unbeaten sequence (WWW). Mind Score 83.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
The ratings barely separate them: Hereford 39%, draw 20%, South Shields 40%. Table: Hereford 2nd (30 pts), South Shields 1st (32 pts).
Recent form
Hereford bring a W W W D W W line into this one: five wins from six. Most recent: at Harborough Town, 3–0 (won). The attack is running at 2.2 per game. 4 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
South Shields – sample of six: W W D D W W, with four wins. Most recent: v Marine, 2–1 (won). Goals for and against: 1.3 and 0.7 a game.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Hereford 1.1, South Shields 1.1 – 2.1 in total. A low-event profile – under 2.5 rates 64%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 83. Likeliest score: Hereford 0–1 South Shields. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Hereford
last 6- W@ Harborough Town3–08 Sep
- Wv Spennymoor Town2–15 Sep
- W@ Southport1–031 Aug
- Dv Chester1–129 Aug
- W@ Worksop Town3–022 Aug
- Wv Radcliffe3–018 Aug
South Shields
last 6- Wv Marine2–18 Sep
- W@ Hednesford Town1–05 Sep
- Dv Spalding United1–131 Aug
- Dv Merthyr Town1–122 Aug
- W@ Morecambe1–018 Aug
- Wv Chorley2–115 Aug
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
National League North table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  South Shields | 15 | +10 | 32 |
| 2 |  Hereford | 16 | +14 | 30 |
| 3 |  Oxford City | 15 | +15 | 28 |
| 4 |  Macclesfield | 13 | +10 | 27 |
| 5 |  Hednesford Town | 16 | +8 | 27 |
| 6 |  King's Lynn Town | 16 | +6 | 27 |
| 7 |  Buxton | 16 | +5 | 27 |
| 8 |  Chester | 15 | +4 | 26 |
| 9 |  Morecambe | 16 | +5 | 24 |
| 10 |  Bedford Town | 14 | -2 | 22 |
| 11 |  AFC Telford United | 16 | -4 | 22 |
| 12 |  Spalding United | 15 | +3 | 21 |
| 13 |  Chorley | 15 | -1 | 20 |
| 14 |  Worksop Town | 15 | -1 | 20 |
| 15 |  Hebburn Town | 15 | -8 | 20 |
| 16 |  Marine | 15 | 0 | 19 |
| 17 |  Merthyr Town | 16 | -1 | 19 |
| 18 |  Brackley Town | 16 | -9 | 19 |
| 19 |  Harborough Town | 14 | -4 | 17 |
| 20 |  Scarborough Athletic | 16 | -3 | 16 |
| 21 |  Radcliffe | 15 | -8 | 16 |
| 22 |  Darlington 1883 | 16 | -9 | 12 |
| 23 |  Southport | 15 | -15 | 10 |
| 24 |  Spennymoor Town | 15 | -15 | 10 |
More National League North predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Hereford vs South Shields?
The Mind pick is Under 3.5 goals with a Mind Score of 83.
Who is favourite, Hereford or South Shields?
The model gives Hereford 39%, the draw 20% and South Shields 40%.
What is the likeliest score in Hereford vs South Shields?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Hereford 0–1 South Shields.
How many goals are expected in Hereford vs South Shields?
Around 2.1 in total – over 2.5 rates 36% and both teams to score 56%.
When does Hereford vs South Shields kick off?
Saturday 12 September 2026, 15:00 WAT, at Edgar Street – National League North.