Morecambe vs Brackley Town prediction: Morecambe or draw
Morecambe avoid defeat in 83% of the model's runs. Morecambe's latest result was a win (WDLW); Brackley Town's latest result was a win (WLD). At 1.25 the market and the model roughly agree.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
A modest home lean: Morecambe 58%, Brackley Town 17%, draw 24%. Table: Morecambe 9th (24 pts), Brackley Town 18th (19 pts).
Recent form
The last six for Morecambe read L W W W L L (three wins). Most recent: at Southport, 1–2 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.5 and 1.0 a game.
The last six for Brackley Town read L W D L L D (one win). Most recent: at Buxton, 0–5 (lost). Output has stalled at 0.8 goals a game.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Morecambe 1.7, Brackley Town 0.8 – 2.5 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 46%, BTTS 57%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Morecambe or draw – Mind Score 83, bookmaker price around 1.25 against a fair 1.21. Likeliest score: Morecambe 1–0 Brackley Town. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Morecambe
last 6- L@ Southport1–28 Sep
- Wv Buxton4–05 Sep
- W@ Chester1–031 Aug
- Wv AFC Telford United2–128 Aug
- L@ Radcliffe1–222 Aug
- Lv South Shields0–118 Aug
Brackley Town
last 6- L@ Buxton0–58 Sep
- Wv Harborough Town1–05 Sep
- D@ Chorley2–231 Aug
- L@ Macclesfield1–222 Aug
- Lv King's Lynn Town0–218 Aug
- Dv Hebburn Town1–115 Aug
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
National League North table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  South Shields | 15 | +10 | 32 |
| 2 |  Hereford | 16 | +14 | 30 |
| 3 |  Oxford City | 15 | +15 | 28 |
| 4 |  Macclesfield | 13 | +10 | 27 |
| 5 |  Hednesford Town | 16 | +8 | 27 |
| 6 |  King's Lynn Town | 16 | +6 | 27 |
| 7 |  Buxton | 16 | +5 | 27 |
| 8 |  Chester | 15 | +4 | 26 |
| 9 |  Morecambe | 16 | +5 | 24 |
| 10 |  Bedford Town | 14 | -2 | 22 |
| 11 |  AFC Telford United | 16 | -4 | 22 |
| 12 |  Spalding United | 15 | +3 | 21 |
| 13 |  Chorley | 15 | -1 | 20 |
| 14 |  Worksop Town | 15 | -1 | 20 |
| 15 |  Hebburn Town | 15 | -8 | 20 |
| 16 |  Marine | 15 | 0 | 19 |
| 17 |  Merthyr Town | 16 | -1 | 19 |
| 18 |  Brackley Town | 16 | -9 | 19 |
| 19 |  Harborough Town | 14 | -4 | 17 |
| 20 |  Scarborough Athletic | 16 | -3 | 16 |
| 21 |  Radcliffe | 15 | -8 | 16 |
| 22 |  Darlington 1883 | 16 | -9 | 12 |
| 23 |  Southport | 15 | -15 | 10 |
| 24 |  Spennymoor Town | 15 | -15 | 10 |
More National League North predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Morecambe vs Brackley Town?
The Mind pick is Morecambe or draw with a Mind Score of 83, priced around 1.25 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Morecambe or Brackley Town?
The model gives Morecambe 58%, the draw 24% and Brackley Town 17%.
What is the likeliest score in Morecambe vs Brackley Town?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Morecambe 1–0 Brackley Town.
How many goals are expected in Morecambe vs Brackley Town?
Around 2.5 in total – over 2.5 rates 46% and both teams to score 57%.
When does Morecambe vs Brackley Town kick off?
Saturday 12 September 2026, 15:00 WAT, at The Mazuma Stadium – National League North.