399 matches analysed today 12 live now 30-day hit rate 74% 06:56 WATTelegram18+
England National League North Sat 12 Sep 2026 · The Walks Stadium Full time
2–0
Half-time 1–0

Chorley

WDDLW
41%King's Lynn Town21%Draw39%Chorley

King's Lynn Town vs Chorley prediction: Over 1.5 goals

The Mind pick · Landed ✓ Over 1.5 goals

An open game on paper: 3.5 projected goals. Mind Score 86. King's Lynn Town won most recently (WWL); Chorley arrive off a defeat (LLW). Mind Score 86.

86Mind Score Odds– Score2–1

The crowd's call

Fans' vote

Voting closed at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · King's Lynn Town2.0041% X · Draw3.3021% 2 · Chorley3.2039%

Double chance

1X1.3061% 121.3079% X21.6759%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.1686% · fair Under 1.57.3614% · fair

Goals 2.5

Over 2.51.4768% · fair Under 2.53.1232% · fair

Goals 3.5

Over 3.52.1646% · fair Under 3.51.8654% · fair

Both teams to score

GG · Yes1.5767% NG · No2.3033%

Half-time result

HT 12.4533% HT X2.3036% HT 23.6031%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

A near-even split in the model – home 41%, draw 21%, away 39%. Table: King's Lynn Town 6th (27 pts), Chorley 13th (20 pts).

Recent form

The last six for King's Lynn Town read L W W L L W (three wins). Most recent: v Hednesford Town, 2–3 (lost). Output is high: 2.0 goals a game across the sample.

The last six for Chorley read W L D D W W (three wins). Most recent: v Darlington 1883, 5–2 (won). The attack is running at 2.0 per game.

Expected goals

Expected goals: King's Lynn Town 1.8, Chorley 1.7 – 3.5 in total. The grid favours goals: over 2.5 at 68%, both to score at 67%.

The pick (settled)

The pre-match Mind pick was Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 86. Likeliest score: King's Lynn Town 2–1 Chorley. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.

King's Lynn Town

last 6
  • Lv Hednesford Town2–38 Sep
  • W@ Darlington 18832–05 Sep
  • Wv Scarborough Athletic3–131 Aug
  • L@ Hebburn Town2–429 Aug
  • Lv Marine1–422 Aug
  • W@ Brackley Town2–018 Aug
2.0scored / game2.0conceded67%GG67%over 2.5

Chorley

last 6
  • Wv Darlington 18835–28 Sep
  • L@ Oxford City0–45 Sep
  • Dv Brackley Town2–231 Aug
  • D@ Merthyr Town1–129 Aug
  • Wv Scarborough Athletic2–122 Aug
  • W@ Marine2–018 Aug
2.0scored / game1.7conceded67%GG67%over 2.5

Head-to-head

Every meeting →

No previous meeting in our data.

National League North table

League page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1South Shields151023+1032
2Hereford16934+1430
3Oxford City15843+1528
4Macclesfield13832+1027
5Hednesford Town16835+827
6King's Lynn Town16835+627
7Buxton16835+527
8Chester15825+426
9Morecambe16736+524
10Bedford Town14716-222
11AFC Telford United16646-422
12Spalding United15636+321
13Chorley15627-120
14Worksop Town15627-120
15Hebburn Town15555-820
16Marine15618019
17Merthyr Town16475-119
18Brackley Town16547-919
19Harborough Town14455-417
20Scarborough Athletic16448-316
21Radcliffe15519-816
22Darlington 1883163310-912
23Southport15249-1510
24Spennymoor Town15249-1510

More National League North predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the FootyMind prediction for King's Lynn Town vs Chorley?

The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 86.

Who is favourite, King's Lynn Town or Chorley?

The model gives King's Lynn Town 41%, the draw 21% and Chorley 39%.

What is the likeliest score in King's Lynn Town vs Chorley?

The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is King's Lynn Town 2–1 Chorley.

How many goals are expected in King's Lynn Town vs Chorley?

Around 3.5 in total – over 2.5 rates 68% and both teams to score 67%.

When does King's Lynn Town vs Chorley kick off?

Saturday 12 September 2026, 15:00 WAT, at The Walks Stadium – National League North.