Scarborough Athletic vs Merthyr Town prediction: Over 1.5 goals
The goal projection sits at 2.8, clear of the 1.5 line. Mind Score 77. Scarborough Athletic's form is mixed (DLD, 0 W 2 D 1 L); Merthyr Town won most recently (WWL). Mind Score 77.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
A modest home lean: Scarborough Athletic 46%, Merthyr Town 33%, draw 21%. Table: Scarborough Athletic 20th (16 pts), Merthyr Town 17th (19 pts).
Recent form
The last six for Scarborough Athletic read D L L W L W (two wins). Most recent: at Macclesfield, 0–0 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.7 and 1.2 a game.
Merthyr Town bring a W W L D D D line into this one: two wins from six. Most recent: at Chester, 1–0 (won). Goals for and against: 1.3 and 1.2 a game.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Scarborough Athletic 1.5, Merthyr Town 1.3 – 2.8 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 53%, BTTS 62%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 77. Likeliest score: Scarborough Athletic 2–1 Merthyr Town. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Scarborough Athletic
last 6- D@ Macclesfield0–08 Sep
- Lv AFC Telford United0–15 Sep
- L@ King's Lynn Town1–331 Aug
- Wv Southport5–129 Aug
- L@ Chorley1–222 Aug
- Wv Spennymoor Town3–018 Aug
Merthyr Town
last 6- W@ Chester1–08 Sep
- Wv Macclesfield2–15 Sep
- L@ Buxton1–231 Aug
- Dv Chorley1–129 Aug
- D@ South Shields1–122 Aug
- Dv AFC Telford United2–218 Aug
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
National League North table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  South Shields | 15 | +10 | 32 |
| 2 |  Hereford | 16 | +14 | 30 |
| 3 |  Oxford City | 15 | +15 | 28 |
| 4 |  Macclesfield | 13 | +10 | 27 |
| 5 |  Hednesford Town | 16 | +8 | 27 |
| 6 |  King's Lynn Town | 16 | +6 | 27 |
| 7 |  Buxton | 16 | +5 | 27 |
| 8 |  Chester | 15 | +4 | 26 |
| 9 |  Morecambe | 16 | +5 | 24 |
| 10 |  Bedford Town | 14 | -2 | 22 |
| 11 |  AFC Telford United | 16 | -4 | 22 |
| 12 |  Spalding United | 15 | +3 | 21 |
| 13 |  Chorley | 15 | -1 | 20 |
| 14 |  Worksop Town | 15 | -1 | 20 |
| 15 |  Hebburn Town | 15 | -8 | 20 |
| 16 |  Marine | 15 | 0 | 19 |
| 17 |  Merthyr Town | 16 | -1 | 19 |
| 18 |  Brackley Town | 16 | -9 | 19 |
| 19 |  Harborough Town | 14 | -4 | 17 |
| 20 |  Scarborough Athletic | 16 | -3 | 16 |
| 21 |  Radcliffe | 15 | -8 | 16 |
| 22 |  Darlington 1883 | 16 | -9 | 12 |
| 23 |  Southport | 15 | -15 | 10 |
| 24 |  Spennymoor Town | 15 | -15 | 10 |
More National League North predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Scarborough Athletic vs Merthyr Town?
The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 77.
Who is favourite, Scarborough Athletic or Merthyr Town?
The model gives Scarborough Athletic 46%, the draw 21% and Merthyr Town 33%.
What is the likeliest score in Scarborough Athletic vs Merthyr Town?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Scarborough Athletic 2–1 Merthyr Town.
How many goals are expected in Scarborough Athletic vs Merthyr Town?
Around 2.8 in total – over 2.5 rates 53% and both teams to score 62%.
When does Scarborough Athletic vs Merthyr Town kick off?
Saturday 12 September 2026, 15:00 WAT, at Mounting Systems Stadium – National League North.