405 matches analysed today 10 live now 30-day hit rate 74% 07:48 WATTelegram18+
England National League North Sat 10 Oct 2026 · St James Park Full time
2–1
Half-time 1–1
48%Brackley Town22%Draw30%Spennymoor Town

Brackley Town vs Spennymoor Town prediction: Over 1.5 goals

The Mind pick · Landed ✓ Over 1.5 goals

An open game on paper: 3.1 projected goals. The line lands in 82% of the model's runs. Brackley Town won most recently (WLD); Spennymoor Town's form is mixed (DLL, 0 W 1 D 2 L). Mind Score 82.

82Mind Score Odds– Score2–1

The crowd's call

Fans' vote

Voting closed at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Brackley Town2.0548% X · Draw3.2022% 2 · Spennymoor Town3.2530%

Double chance

1X1.3070% 121.3078% X21.6752%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.2382% · fair Under 1.55.4118% · fair

Goals 2.5

Over 2.51.6760% · fair Under 2.52.4940% · fair

Goals 3.5

Over 3.52.6738% · fair Under 3.51.6062% · fair

Both teams to score

GG · Yes1.6260% NG · No2.1540%

Half-time result

HT 12.5036% HT X2.2539% HT 23.6025%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

Brackley Town edge it at home, 48% to 30%, with the draw on 22%. Table: Brackley Town 18th (19 pts), Spennymoor Town 24th (10 pts).

Recent form

The last six for Brackley Town read L W D W L L (two wins). Most recent: v Chelmsford City, 0–2 (lost). Output has stalled at 0.8 goals a game.

Spennymoor Town – sample of six: W D W D L L, with two wins. Most recent: v Chester, 4–1 (won). Output is high: 2.2 goals a game across the sample.

Expected goals

Expected goals: Brackley Town 1.8, Spennymoor Town 1.3 – 3.1 in total. An open profile – over 2.5 60%, BTTS 60%.

The pick (settled)

The pre-match Mind pick was Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 82. Likeliest score: Brackley Town 2–1 Spennymoor Town. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.

Brackley Town

last 6
  • Lv Chelmsford City0–23 Oct
  • Wv South Shields3–229 Sep
  • Dv Scarborough Athletic1–126 Sep
  • Wv AFC Portchester1–019 Sep
  • L@ Morecambe0–312 Sep
  • L@ Buxton0–58 Sep
0.8scored / game2.2conceded33%GG50%over 2.5

Spennymoor Town

last 6
  • Wv Chester4–13 Oct
  • D@ Southport2–226 Sep
  • W@ AFC Emley4–019 Sep
  • Dv Macclesfield1–112 Sep
  • Lv Spalding United1–38 Sep
  • L@ Hereford1–25 Sep
2.2scored / game1.5conceded83%GG83%over 2.5

Head-to-head

Every meeting →

No previous meeting in our data.

National League North table

League page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1South Shields151023+1032
2Hereford16934+1430
3Oxford City15843+1528
4Macclesfield13832+1027
5Hednesford Town16835+827
6King's Lynn Town16835+627
7Buxton16835+527
8Chester15825+426
9Morecambe16736+524
10Bedford Town14716-222
11AFC Telford United16646-422
12Spalding United15636+321
13Chorley15627-120
14Worksop Town15627-120
15Hebburn Town15555-820
16Marine15618019
17Merthyr Town16475-119
18Brackley Town16547-919
19Harborough Town14455-417
20Scarborough Athletic16448-316
21Radcliffe15519-816
22Darlington 1883163310-912
23Southport15249-1510
24Spennymoor Town15249-1510

More National League North predictions

League page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the FootyMind prediction for Brackley Town vs Spennymoor Town?

The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 82.

Who is favourite, Brackley Town or Spennymoor Town?

The model gives Brackley Town 48%, the draw 22% and Spennymoor Town 30%.

What is the likeliest score in Brackley Town vs Spennymoor Town?

The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Brackley Town 2–1 Spennymoor Town.

How many goals are expected in Brackley Town vs Spennymoor Town?

Around 3.1 in total – over 2.5 rates 60% and both teams to score 60%.

When does Brackley Town vs Spennymoor Town kick off?

Saturday 10 October 2026, 15:00 WAT, at St James Park – National League North.