Chorley vs AFC Telford United prediction: Over 1.5 goals
An open game on paper: 2.8 projected goals. Mind Score 77. Chorley were beaten last time (LLW); AFC Telford United's form is mixed (DWW, 2 W 1 D 0 L). Mind Score 77.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
Chorley edge it at home, 43% to 36%, with the draw on 21%. Table: Chorley 13th (20 pts), AFC Telford United 11th (22 pts).
Recent form
Chorley bring a W W W L W L line into this one: four wins from six. Most recent: at Barton Town Old Boys, 4–1 (won). The attack is running at 2.0 per game.
AFC Telford United – sample of six: L L D D W W, with two wins. Most recent: v King's Lynn Town, 0–5 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.0 and 2.0 a game. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Head-to-head
Latest (Feb 2026): AFC Telford United 2–2 Chorley. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Chorley 1.5, AFC Telford United 1.3 – 2.8 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 53%, BTTS 60%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 77. Likeliest score: Chorley 2–1 AFC Telford United. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Chorley
last 6- W@ Barton Town Old Boys4–13 Oct
- Wv Spalding United2–126 Sep
- W@ Rylands1–019 Sep
- L@ King's Lynn Town0–212 Sep
- Wv Darlington 18835–28 Sep
- L@ Oxford City0–45 Sep
AFC Telford United
last 6- Lv King's Lynn Town0–526 Sep
- L@ Worksop Town2–522 Sep
- Dv Worksop Town2–219 Sep
- D@ Harborough Town0–012 Sep
- Wv Oxford City1–08 Sep
- W@ Scarborough Athletic1–05 Sep
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 17 Feb 2026AFC Telford United2–2Chorley
National League North table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  South Shields | 15 | +10 | 32 |
| 2 |  Hereford | 16 | +14 | 30 |
| 3 |  Oxford City | 15 | +15 | 28 |
| 4 |  Macclesfield | 13 | +10 | 27 |
| 5 |  Hednesford Town | 16 | +8 | 27 |
| 6 |  King's Lynn Town | 16 | +6 | 27 |
| 7 |  Buxton | 16 | +5 | 27 |
| 8 |  Chester | 15 | +4 | 26 |
| 9 |  Morecambe | 16 | +5 | 24 |
| 10 |  Bedford Town | 14 | -2 | 22 |
| 11 |  AFC Telford United | 16 | -4 | 22 |
| 12 |  Spalding United | 15 | +3 | 21 |
| 13 |  Chorley | 15 | -1 | 20 |
| 14 |  Worksop Town | 15 | -1 | 20 |
| 15 |  Hebburn Town | 15 | -8 | 20 |
| 16 |  Marine | 15 | 0 | 19 |
| 17 |  Merthyr Town | 16 | -1 | 19 |
| 18 |  Brackley Town | 16 | -9 | 19 |
| 19 |  Harborough Town | 14 | -4 | 17 |
| 20 |  Scarborough Athletic | 16 | -3 | 16 |
| 21 |  Radcliffe | 15 | -8 | 16 |
| 22 |  Darlington 1883 | 16 | -9 | 12 |
| 23 |  Southport | 15 | -15 | 10 |
| 24 |  Spennymoor Town | 15 | -15 | 10 |
More National League North predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Chorley vs AFC Telford United?
The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 77.
Who is favourite, Chorley or AFC Telford United?
The model gives Chorley 43%, the draw 21% and AFC Telford United 36%.
What is the likeliest score in Chorley vs AFC Telford United?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Chorley 2–1 AFC Telford United.
How many goals are expected in Chorley vs AFC Telford United?
Around 2.8 in total – over 2.5 rates 53% and both teams to score 60%.
When does Chorley vs AFC Telford United kick off?
Saturday 10 October 2026, 15:00 WAT, at Victory Park – National League North.