Chester vs Bedford Town prediction: Chester to win
Projected goals favour Chester: 1.8 against 0.7. Chester arrive off a defeat (LWW). Price check: 1.62 is close to fair.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
The model makes Chester strong home favourites (64%). Table: Chester 8th (26 pts), Bedford Town 10th (22 pts).
Recent form
Chester bring a L W W L L D line into this one: two wins from six. Most recent: at Spennymoor Town, 1–4 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.5 and 1.8 a game. Zero clean sheets across the sample.
Bedford Town bring a W D D W L W line into this one: three wins from six. Most recent: at Wingate & Finchley, 3–1 (won). Goals for and against: 1.8 and 1.3 a game. Zero clean sheets across the sample.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Chester 1.8, Bedford Town 0.7 – 2.5 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 46%, BTTS 57%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Chester to win – Mind Score 64, bookmaker price around 1.62 against a fair 1.57. Likeliest score: Chester 1–0 Bedford Town. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Chester
last 6- L@ Spennymoor Town1–43 Oct
- Wv Worksop Town4–126 Sep
- W@ Lower Breck2–119 Sep
- L@ Buxton1–312 Sep
- Lv Merthyr Town0–18 Sep
- D@ Hebburn Town1–15 Sep
Bedford Town
last 6- W@ Wingate & Finchley3–16 Oct
- Dv Wingate & Finchley2–23 Oct
- Dv Hereford1–126 Sep
- Wv King's Lynn Town2–119 Sep
- L@ Spalding United1–212 Sep
- W@ Worksop Town2–18 Sep
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
National League North table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  South Shields | 15 | +10 | 32 |
| 2 |  Hereford | 16 | +14 | 30 |
| 3 |  Oxford City | 15 | +15 | 28 |
| 4 |  Macclesfield | 13 | +10 | 27 |
| 5 |  Hednesford Town | 16 | +8 | 27 |
| 6 |  King's Lynn Town | 16 | +6 | 27 |
| 7 |  Buxton | 16 | +5 | 27 |
| 8 |  Chester | 15 | +4 | 26 |
| 9 |  Morecambe | 16 | +5 | 24 |
| 10 |  Bedford Town | 14 | -2 | 22 |
| 11 |  AFC Telford United | 16 | -4 | 22 |
| 12 |  Spalding United | 15 | +3 | 21 |
| 13 |  Chorley | 15 | -1 | 20 |
| 14 |  Worksop Town | 15 | -1 | 20 |
| 15 |  Hebburn Town | 15 | -8 | 20 |
| 16 |  Marine | 15 | 0 | 19 |
| 17 |  Merthyr Town | 16 | -1 | 19 |
| 18 |  Brackley Town | 16 | -9 | 19 |
| 19 |  Harborough Town | 14 | -4 | 17 |
| 20 |  Scarborough Athletic | 16 | -3 | 16 |
| 21 |  Radcliffe | 15 | -8 | 16 |
| 22 |  Darlington 1883 | 16 | -9 | 12 |
| 23 |  Southport | 15 | -15 | 10 |
| 24 |  Spennymoor Town | 15 | -15 | 10 |
More National League North predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Chester vs Bedford Town?
The Mind pick is Chester to win with a Mind Score of 64, priced around 1.62 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Chester or Bedford Town?
The model gives Chester 64%, the draw 21% and Bedford Town 15%.
What is the likeliest score in Chester vs Bedford Town?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Chester 1–0 Bedford Town.
How many goals are expected in Chester vs Bedford Town?
Around 2.5 in total – over 2.5 rates 46% and both teams to score 57%.
When does Chester vs Bedford Town kick off?
Saturday 10 October 2026, 15:00 WAT, at Deva Stadium – National League North.