Harborough Town vs Southport prediction: Harborough Town to win
The model lands a Harborough Town win in 62% of simulations. Harborough Town have no win in 3 (LLL). At 1.62 the market and the model roughly agree.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
Harborough Town are clear favourites at 62% – the ratings gap plus home advantage does the work. Table: Harborough Town 19th (17 pts), Southport 23rd (10 pts).
Recent form
The last six for Harborough Town read W L W D L L (two wins). Most recent: v St Albans City, 3–2 (won). Output has stalled at 0.7 goals a game.
The last six for Southport read D L L W L L (one win). Most recent: v Spennymoor Town, 2–2 (drawn). Output has stalled at 0.7 goals a game. Zero clean sheets across the sample.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Harborough Town 1.9, Southport 0.8 – 2.8 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 52%, BTTS 55%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Harborough Town to win – Mind Score 62, bookmaker price around 1.62 against a fair 1.61. Likeliest score: Harborough Town 1–0 Southport. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Harborough Town
last 6- Wv St Albans City3–23 Oct
- L@ Macclesfield0–126 Sep
- Wv Rushall Olympic1–019 Sep
- Dv AFC Telford United0–012 Sep
- Lv Hereford0–38 Sep
- L@ Brackley Town0–15 Sep
Southport
last 6- Dv Spennymoor Town2–226 Sep
- L@ Morecambe0–219 Sep
- L@ Worksop Town0–212 Sep
- Wv Morecambe2–18 Sep
- L@ Spalding United0–25 Sep
- Lv Hereford0–131 Aug
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
National League North table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  South Shields | 15 | +10 | 32 |
| 2 |  Hereford | 16 | +14 | 30 |
| 3 |  Oxford City | 15 | +15 | 28 |
| 4 |  Macclesfield | 13 | +10 | 27 |
| 5 |  Hednesford Town | 16 | +8 | 27 |
| 6 |  King's Lynn Town | 16 | +6 | 27 |
| 7 |  Buxton | 16 | +5 | 27 |
| 8 |  Chester | 15 | +4 | 26 |
| 9 |  Morecambe | 16 | +5 | 24 |
| 10 |  Bedford Town | 14 | -2 | 22 |
| 11 |  AFC Telford United | 16 | -4 | 22 |
| 12 |  Spalding United | 15 | +3 | 21 |
| 13 |  Chorley | 15 | -1 | 20 |
| 14 |  Worksop Town | 15 | -1 | 20 |
| 15 |  Hebburn Town | 15 | -8 | 20 |
| 16 |  Marine | 15 | 0 | 19 |
| 17 |  Merthyr Town | 16 | -1 | 19 |
| 18 |  Brackley Town | 16 | -9 | 19 |
| 19 |  Harborough Town | 14 | -4 | 17 |
| 20 |  Scarborough Athletic | 16 | -3 | 16 |
| 21 |  Radcliffe | 15 | -8 | 16 |
| 22 |  Darlington 1883 | 16 | -9 | 12 |
| 23 |  Southport | 15 | -15 | 10 |
| 24 |  Spennymoor Town | 15 | -15 | 10 |
More National League North predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Harborough Town vs Southport?
The Mind pick is Harborough Town to win with a Mind Score of 62, priced around 1.62 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Harborough Town or Southport?
The model gives Harborough Town 62%, the draw 22% and Southport 16%.
What is the likeliest score in Harborough Town vs Southport?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Harborough Town 1–0 Southport.
How many goals are expected in Harborough Town vs Southport?
Around 2.8 in total – over 2.5 rates 52% and both teams to score 55%.
When does Harborough Town vs Southport kick off?
Saturday 10 October 2026, 15:00 WAT – National League North.