Cambridge United vs Northampton prediction: Over 1.5 goals
Cambridge United (2.5) plus Northampton (1.5) puts 4.0 goals on the board. The line lands in 91% of the model's runs. Cambridge United arrive off a defeat (LWLD); Northampton's recent sample is poor: DLLLD. Mind Score 91.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
A modest home lean: Cambridge United 60%, Northampton 21%, draw 19%. Table: Cambridge United 2nd (6 pts), Northampton 1st (9 pts).
Recent form
Cambridge United – sample of six: D W D W D W, with three wins. Most recent: v AFC Wimbledon, 1–1 (drawn). The attack is running at 2.0 per game. Zero clean sheets across the sample.
Northampton – sample of six: L L W D D L, with one win. Most recent: v Rotherham, 0–1 (lost). Just 0.5 goals per game in that run – a weak attacking signal.
Head-to-head
Latest (Jul 2026): Cambridge United 0–0 Northampton. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Cambridge United 2.5, Northampton 1.5 – 4.0 in total. The grid favours goals: over 2.5 at 76%, both to score at 66%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 91. Likeliest score: Cambridge United 2–1 Northampton. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Cambridge United
last 6- Dv AFC Wimbledon1–126 Sep
- W@ Gillingham4–122 Sep
- D@ Oxford United1–119 Sep
- Wv Reading2–112 Sep
- D@ Burton Albion2–25 Sep
- W@ Bradford2–11 Sep
Northampton
last 6- Lv Rotherham0–119 Sep
- L@ Shrewsbury0–212 Sep
- Wv Newport County1–05 Sep
- Dv Crawley Town1–11 Sep
- D@ Gillingham1–129 Aug
- L@ Crewe0–122 Aug
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 28 Jul 2026Cambridge United0–0Northampton
EFL Trophy table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Northampton | 3 | +5 | 9 |
| 2 |  Walsall | 3 | +1 | 5 |
| 3 |  Shrewsbury | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 |  Chelsea U21 | 3 | -5 | 1 |
More EFL Trophy predictions
League page →
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Barnsley1Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Cambridge United vs Northampton?
The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 91.
Who is favourite, Cambridge United or Northampton?
The model gives Cambridge United 60%, the draw 19% and Northampton 21%.
What is the likeliest score in Cambridge United vs Northampton?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Cambridge United 2–1 Northampton.
How many goals are expected in Cambridge United vs Northampton?
Around 4.0 in total – over 2.5 rates 76% and both teams to score 66%.
When does Cambridge United vs Northampton kick off?
Tuesday 6 October 2026, 19:00 WAT, at Abbey Stadium – EFL Trophy.