Atlético Porcuna vs Ciudad de Torredonjimeno prediction: Over 1.5 goals
An open game on paper: 3.0 projected goals. The line lands in 75% of the model's runs. Price check: 1.31 is close to fair.
Your call: who wins?
Fans' voteVote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno shade it on the road, 43% to 35%. Table: Atlético Porcuna 12th (13 pts), Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 3rd (20 pts).
Recent form
Atlético Porcuna bring a D D D W D L line into this one: one win from six. Most recent: at Mancha Real, 3–3 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.3 and 1.2 a game. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno – sample of six: W W W W W W, with six wins. Most recent: v UD San Pedro, 3–1 (won). Output is high: 2.7 goals a game across the sample.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Atlético Porcuna 1.4, Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 1.6 – 3.0 in total. An open profile – over 2.5 52%, BTTS 53%.
The pick
Where the model lands: Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 75, bookmaker price around 1.31 against a fair 1.34. Likeliest score: Atlético Porcuna 1–2 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Atlético Porcuna
last 6- D@ Mancha Real3–38 Nov
- Dv Arenas Armilla0–01 Nov
- D@ Marbelli0–025 Oct
- Wv Melilla2–018 Oct
- D@ Motril1–111 Oct
- Lv Churriana Vega2–34 Oct
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
last 6- Wv UD San Pedro3–18 Nov
- W@ Alhaurino3–21 Nov
- Wv Malaga City4–125 Oct
- W@ Torre del Mar2–018 Oct
- Wv Huétor Vega3–111 Oct
- W@ Atletico de Marbella1–04 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
Tercera División RFEF Group 9 table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arenas Armilla | 11 | +10 | 23 |
| 2 |  Melilla | 10 | +10 | 23 |
| 3 |  Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 10 | +9 | 20 |
| 4 |  Málaga II | 11 | +9 | 19 |
| 5 |  Almería II | 10 | +8 | 19 |
| 6 |  Motril | 10 | +4 | 17 |
| 7 |  Churriana Vega | 10 | +5 | 15 |
| 8 |  Marbelli | 10 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 |  UD San Pedro | 10 | -2 | 15 |
| 10 |  Granada II | 10 | +3 | 13 |
| 11 |  Huétor Vega | 10 | -2 | 13 |
| 12 |  Atlético Porcuna | 10 | -6 | 13 |
| 13 |  Torre del Mar | 10 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 |  Alhaurino | 10 | -4 | 9 |
| 15 |  Atletico de Marbella | 10 | -6 | 7 |
| 16 |  Mancha Real | 10 | -8 | 7 |
| 17 |  Cantoria | 10 | -11 | 4 |
| 18 |  Malaga City | 10 | -18 | 0 |
More Tercera División RFEF Group 9 predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Atlético Porcuna vs Ciudad de Torredonjimeno?
The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 75, priced around 1.31 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Atlético Porcuna or Ciudad de Torredonjimeno?
The model gives Atlético Porcuna 35%, the draw 23% and Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 43%.
What is the likeliest score in Atlético Porcuna vs Ciudad de Torredonjimeno?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Atlético Porcuna 1–2 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno.
How many goals are expected in Atlético Porcuna vs Ciudad de Torredonjimeno?
Around 3.0 in total – over 2.5 rates 52% and both teams to score 53%.
When does Atlético Porcuna vs Ciudad de Torredonjimeno kick off?
Sunday 15 November 2026, 17:30 WAT – Tercera División RFEF Group 9.