Alessandria vs Fezzanese prediction: Alessandria to win
Alessandria rate better at both ends – 2.1 expected for, 0.7 against. The form line for Alessandria reads WWW – no defeats; Fezzanese's form is mixed (DLW, 1 W 1 D 1 L). Price check: 1.33 is shorter than fair – better as an accumulator leg.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
Alessandria are clear favourites at 68% – the ratings gap plus home advantage does the work. Table: Alessandria 1st (30 pts), Fezzanese 15th (11 pts).
Recent form
Alessandria bring a L W W W L W line into this one: four wins from six. Most recent: at Biellese, 2–3 (lost). The attack is running at 2.0 per game.
Fezzanese bring a L L L W W D line into this one: two wins from six. Most recent: v Valenzana, 1–2 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.2 and 1.2 a game.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Alessandria 2.1, Fezzanese 0.7 – 2.8 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 52%, BTTS 44%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Alessandria to win – Mind Score 68, bookmaker price around 1.33 against a fair 1.46. Likeliest score: Alessandria 2–0 Fezzanese. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Alessandria
last 6- L@ Biellese2–37 Oct
- W@ Derthona3–14 Oct
- Wv Imperia2–130 Sep
- Wv Asti2–027 Sep
- L@ Millesimo1–416 Sep
- Wv Sestri Levante2–113 Sep
Fezzanese
last 6- Lv Valenzana1–24 Oct
- L@ Imperia0–227 Sep
- Lv Gozzano0–221 Sep
- W@ Sestri Levante3–016 Sep
- Wv Chisola2–013 Sep
- D@ Bra1–16 Sep
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
Serie D Girone A table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alessandria | 11 | +12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Chisola | 11 | +12 | 21 |
| 3 |  Biellese | 11 | +10 | 21 |
| 4 |  Derthona | 11 | +1 | 19 |
| 5 |  Ligorna | 11 | +5 | 18 |
| 6 |  Millesimo | 11 | +6 | 17 |
| 7 |  Sanremese | 11 | +4 | 17 |
| 8 |  Saluzzo | 11 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Imperia | 11 | +1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Asti | 11 | -2 | 14 |
| 11 |  Gozzano | 11 | -4 | 14 |
| 12 |  Sestri Levante | 11 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Borgosesia | 11 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 |  Lascaris | 11 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 |  Fezzanese | 11 | -7 | 11 |
| 16 |  Bra | 11 | -7 | 10 |
| 17 |  Valenzana | 11 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 |  Celle Varazze | 11 | -15 | 4 |
More Serie D Girone A predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Alessandria vs Fezzanese?
The Mind pick is Alessandria to win with a Mind Score of 68, priced around 1.33 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Alessandria or Fezzanese?
The model gives Alessandria 68%, the draw 21% and Fezzanese 11%.
What is the likeliest score in Alessandria vs Fezzanese?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Alessandria 2–0 Fezzanese.
How many goals are expected in Alessandria vs Fezzanese?
Around 2.8 in total – over 2.5 rates 52% and both teams to score 44%.
When does Alessandria vs Fezzanese kick off?
Sunday 11 October 2026, 14:00 WAT, at Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta – Serie D Girone A.