Sestri Levante vs Celle Varazze prediction: Sestri Levante to win
The model lands a Sestri Levante win in 64% of simulations. Sestri Levante's latest result was a win (WDD); Celle Varazze were beaten last time (LWL). At 1.60 the market and the model roughly agree.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
The model makes Sestri Levante strong home favourites (64%). Table: Sestri Levante 12th (13 pts), Celle Varazze 18th (4 pts).
Recent form
Sestri Levante – sample of six: W W L D L L, with two wins. Most recent: v Pistoiese, 1–0 (won). Output has stalled at 0.8 goals a game.
Celle Varazze – sample of six: L L L L L L, with zero wins. Most recent: at Bra, 0–2 (lost). Just 0.2 goals per game in that run – a weak attacking signal. Zero clean sheets across the sample.
Head-to-head
Latest (Apr 2026): Celle Varazze 1–0 Sestri Levante. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Sestri Levante 1.8, Celle Varazze 0.6 – 2.4 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 45%, BTTS 43%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Sestri Levante to win – Mind Score 64, bookmaker price around 1.60 against a fair 1.56. Likeliest score: Sestri Levante 1–0 Celle Varazze. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Sestri Levante
last 6- Wv Pistoiese1–07 Oct
- W@ Borgosesia1–04 Oct
- Lv Biellese1–227 Sep
- D@ Lascaris1–120 Sep
- Lv Fezzanese0–316 Sep
- L@ Alessandria1–213 Sep
Celle Varazze
last 6- L@ Bra0–27 Oct
- Lv Chisola0–44 Oct
- Lv Ligorna0–220 Sep
- L@ Saluzzo1–316 Sep
- L@ Sanremese0–112 Sep
- Lv Derthona0–16 Sep
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 26 Apr 2026Celle Varazze1–0Sestri Levante
Serie D Girone A table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alessandria | 11 | +12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Chisola | 11 | +12 | 21 |
| 3 |  Biellese | 11 | +10 | 21 |
| 4 |  Derthona | 11 | +1 | 19 |
| 5 |  Ligorna | 11 | +5 | 18 |
| 6 |  Millesimo | 11 | +6 | 17 |
| 7 |  Sanremese | 11 | +4 | 17 |
| 8 |  Saluzzo | 11 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Imperia | 11 | +1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Asti | 11 | -2 | 14 |
| 11 |  Gozzano | 11 | -4 | 14 |
| 12 |  Sestri Levante | 11 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Borgosesia | 11 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 |  Lascaris | 11 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 |  Fezzanese | 11 | -7 | 11 |
| 16 |  Bra | 11 | -7 | 10 |
| 17 |  Valenzana | 11 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 |  Celle Varazze | 11 | -15 | 4 |
More Serie D Girone A predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Sestri Levante vs Celle Varazze?
The Mind pick is Sestri Levante to win with a Mind Score of 64, priced around 1.60 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Sestri Levante or Celle Varazze?
The model gives Sestri Levante 64%, the draw 24% and Celle Varazze 12%.
What is the likeliest score in Sestri Levante vs Celle Varazze?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Sestri Levante 1–0 Celle Varazze.
How many goals are expected in Sestri Levante vs Celle Varazze?
Around 2.4 in total – over 2.5 rates 45% and both teams to score 43%.
When does Sestri Levante vs Celle Varazze kick off?
Sunday 11 October 2026, 14:00 WAT, at Giuseppe Sivori – Serie D Girone A.