511 matches analysed today 9 live now 30-day hit rate 64% 07:51 WATTelegram18+
Italy Serie D Girone A Sun 11 Oct 2026 Full time

Imperia

DLWLD
2–1
Half-time 1–1
33%Imperia22%Draw45%Biellese

Imperia vs Biellese prediction: Under 3.5 goals

The Mind pick · Landed ✓ Under 3.5 goals

The model sees few chances: 2.5 goals in total. The line lands in 73% of the model's runs. Imperia were beaten last time (LDW); Biellese's form is mixed (DWLL, 1 W 1 D 2 L). Price check: 1.28 is shorter than fair – better as an accumulator leg.

73Mind Score Odds1.28 Score0–1

The crowd's call

Fans' vote

Voting closed at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Imperia2.7533% X · Draw3.0522% 2 · Biellese2.4445%

Double chance

1X1.8055% · fair 121.2978% · fair X21.4967% · fair

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.2971% Under 1.53.1529%

Goals 2.5

Over 2.51.9647% Under 2.51.7553%

Goals 3.5

Over 3.53.2527% Under 3.51.2873%

Both teams to score

GG · Yes1.8453% NG · No2.0147%

Half-time result

HT 14.0525% · fair HT X2.2944% · fair HT 23.1632% · fair

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

Biellese shade it on the road, 45% to 33%. Table: Imperia 9th (15 pts), Biellese 3rd (21 pts).

Recent form

The last six for Imperia read D L W L D W (two wins). Most recent: at Lascaris, 1–1 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.2 and 1.0 a game.

Biellese bring a W W W D W W line into this one: five wins from six. Most recent: v Alessandria, 3–2 (won). The attack is running at 2.3 per game.

Head-to-head

Latest (Mar 2026): Imperia 0–1 Biellese. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.

Expected goals

Expected goals: Imperia 1.1, Biellese 1.4 – 2.5 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 47%, BTTS 53%.

The pick (settled)

The pre-match Mind pick was Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 73, bookmaker price around 1.28 against a fair 1.36. Likeliest score: Imperia 0–1 Biellese. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.

Imperia

last 6
  • D@ Lascaris1–14 Oct
  • L@ Alessandria1–230 Sep
  • Wv Fezzanese2–027 Sep
  • Lv Asti1–216 Sep
  • D@ Derthona1–113 Sep
  • Wv Millesimo1–06 Sep
1.2scored / game1.0conceded67%GG33%over 2.5

Biellese

last 6
  • Wv Alessandria3–27 Oct
  • Wv Gozzano4–14 Oct
  • W@ Sestri Levante2–127 Sep
  • Dv Chisola1–120 Sep
  • W@ Bra1–016 Sep
  • Wv Ligorna3–113 Sep
2.3scored / game1.0conceded83%GG67%over 2.5

Head-to-head

Every meeting →
  • 22 Mar 2026Imperia0–1Biellese

Serie D Girone A table

League page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Alessandria111001+1230
2Chisola11632+1221
3Biellese11632+1021
4Derthona11542+119
5Ligorna11533+518
6Millesimo11524+617
7Sanremese11452+417
8Saluzzo11362+115
9Imperia11434+115
10Asti11425-214
11Gozzano11425-414
12Sestri Levante11344-213
13Borgosesia11344-213
14Lascaris11335-512
15Fezzanese11326-711
16Bra11245-710
17Valenzana11137-86
18Celle Varazze11119-154

More Serie D Girone A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the FootyMind prediction for Imperia vs Biellese?

The Mind pick is Under 3.5 goals with a Mind Score of 73, priced around 1.28 by the bookmakers.

Who is favourite, Imperia or Biellese?

The model gives Imperia 33%, the draw 22% and Biellese 45%.

What is the likeliest score in Imperia vs Biellese?

The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Imperia 0–1 Biellese.

How many goals are expected in Imperia vs Biellese?

Around 2.5 in total – over 2.5 rates 47% and both teams to score 53%.

When does Imperia vs Biellese kick off?

Sunday 11 October 2026, 14:00 WAT – Serie D Girone A.