Chisola vs Derthona prediction: Under 3.5 goals
Only 2.5 goals projected – a low-event game. The line lands in 76% of the model's runs. Chisola's form is mixed (DWW, 2 W 1 D 0 L); Derthona's latest result was a win (WWD). Mind Score 76.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
Chisola edge it at home, 44% to 34%, with the draw on 22%. Table: Chisola 2nd (21 pts), Derthona 4th (19 pts).
Recent form
The last six for Chisola read W D L D W L (two wins). Most recent: at Celle Varazze, 4–0 (won). Goals for and against: 1.5 and 1.2 a game.
Derthona bring a L D W W D W line into this one: three wins from six. Most recent: v Alessandria, 1–3 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.2 and 1.0 a game. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Head-to-head
Latest (Feb 2026): Derthona 0–1 Chisola. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Chisola 1.4, Derthona 1.1 – 2.5 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 47%, BTTS 48%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 76. Likeliest score: Chisola 1–0 Derthona. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Chisola
last 6- W@ Celle Varazze4–04 Oct
- Dv Borgosesia2–230 Sep
- Lv Ligorna1–227 Sep
- D@ Biellese1–120 Sep
- Wv Sanremese1–016 Sep
- L@ Fezzanese0–213 Sep
Derthona
last 6- Lv Alessandria1–34 Oct
- D@ Saluzzo0–027 Sep
- Wv Millesimo1–020 Sep
- W@ Ligorna3–216 Sep
- Dv Imperia1–113 Sep
- W@ Celle Varazze1–06 Sep
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 15 Feb 2026Derthona0–1Chisola
Serie D Girone A table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alessandria | 11 | +12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Chisola | 11 | +12 | 21 |
| 3 |  Biellese | 11 | +10 | 21 |
| 4 |  Derthona | 11 | +1 | 19 |
| 5 |  Ligorna | 11 | +5 | 18 |
| 6 |  Millesimo | 11 | +6 | 17 |
| 7 |  Sanremese | 11 | +4 | 17 |
| 8 |  Saluzzo | 11 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Imperia | 11 | +1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Asti | 11 | -2 | 14 |
| 11 |  Gozzano | 11 | -4 | 14 |
| 12 |  Sestri Levante | 11 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Borgosesia | 11 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 |  Lascaris | 11 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 |  Fezzanese | 11 | -7 | 11 |
| 16 |  Bra | 11 | -7 | 10 |
| 17 |  Valenzana | 11 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 |  Celle Varazze | 11 | -15 | 4 |
More Serie D Girone A predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Chisola vs Derthona?
The Mind pick is Under 3.5 goals with a Mind Score of 76.
Who is favourite, Chisola or Derthona?
The model gives Chisola 44%, the draw 22% and Derthona 34%.
What is the likeliest score in Chisola vs Derthona?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Chisola 1–0 Derthona.
How many goals are expected in Chisola vs Derthona?
Around 2.5 in total – over 2.5 rates 47% and both teams to score 48%.
When does Chisola vs Derthona kick off?
Sunday 11 October 2026, 14:00 WAT – Serie D Girone A.