Migori Youth vs Police prediction: Under 3.5 goals
The model sees few chances: 2.1 goals in total. The line lands in 84% of the model's runs. Migori Youth's form is mixed (DLD, 0 W 2 D 1 L). Mind Score 84.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
A slight away lean – Police 58%, Migori Youth 19%.
Recent form
The last six for Migori Youth read W D D W W W (four wins). Most recent: v Mombasa Elite, 2–0 (won). Goals for and against: 1.3 and 0.5 a game. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
The last six for Police read W D L D D D (one win). Most recent: at Shabana, 1–0 (won). Output has stalled at 0.7 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Migori Youth 0.7, Police 1.4 – 2.1 in total. Few chances projected: under 2.5 at 65%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 84. Likeliest score: Migori Youth 0–1 Police. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Migori Youth
last 6- Wv Mombasa Elite2–02 Oct
- Dv Mathare United0–011 Sep
- D@ 3K1–113 Jun
- Wv Equity Bank2–17 Jun
- W@ Kisumu All Stars1–01 Jun
- Wv MCF2–127 May
Police
last 6- W@ Shabana1–02 Oct
- D@ Mombasa Elite0–011 Sep
- L@ Tusker1–214 Jun
- Dv Homeboyz1–131 May
- Dv Kariobangi Sharks1–127 May
- D@ Nairobi United0–024 May
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
FKF Premier League table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  GOR Mahia | 6 | +4 | 13 |
| 2 |  KCB | 6 | +4 | 13 |
| 3 |  AFC Leopards | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 4 |  APS Bomet | 7 | +2 | 9 |
| 5 |  Kenya Police | 6 | +1 | 9 |
| 6 |  Shabana | 6 | +1 | 9 |
| 7 |  Mara Sugar | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 8 |  3K | 6 | -1 | 9 |
| 9 |  Murang'a SEAL | 6 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Migori Youth | 6 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 |  Bandari | 7 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 |  Ulinzi Stars | 7 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 |  Posta Rangers FC | 6 | -4 | 7 |
| 14 |  Tusker | 4 | +2 | 6 |
| 15 |  Nairobi United | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| 16 |  Mathare United | 6 | -2 | 5 |
| 17 |  Homeboyz | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 |  Mombasa Elite | 6 | -7 | 1 |
More FKF Premier League predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Migori Youth vs Police?
The Mind pick is Under 3.5 goals with a Mind Score of 84.
Who is favourite, Migori Youth or Police?
The model gives Migori Youth 19%, the draw 23% and Police 58%.
What is the likeliest score in Migori Youth vs Police?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Migori Youth 0–1 Police.
How many goals are expected in Migori Youth vs Police?
Around 2.1 in total – over 2.5 rates 35% and both teams to score 42%.
When does Migori Youth vs Police kick off?
Sunday 11 October 2026, 13:00 WAT – FKF Premier League.