Bandari vs Tusker prediction: Under 2.5 goals
The model sees few chances: 1.9 goals in total. Mind Score 71. Tusker arrive off a defeat (LLD). Price check: 1.30 is shorter than fair – better as an accumulator leg.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
Tusker shade it on the road, 42% to 33%. Table: Bandari 9th (7 pts), Tusker 11th (6 pts).
Recent form
Bandari bring a D D D D L W line into this one: one win from six. Most recent: v Posta Rangers FC, 0–0 (drawn). Just 0.7 goals per game in that run – a weak attacking signal. 3 clean sheets in the sample point to a solid defensive base.
Tusker – sample of six: L D L W W W, with three wins. Most recent: at Mathare United, 1–2 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.3 and 0.8 a game.
Head-to-head
Latest (May 2026): Bandari 1–0 Tusker. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Bandari 0.8, Tusker 1.0 – 1.9 in total. A low-event profile – under 2.5 rates 71%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Under 2.5 goals – Mind Score 71, bookmaker price around 1.30 against a fair 1.42. Likeliest score: Bandari 0–1 Tusker. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Bandari
last 6- Dv Posta Rangers FC0–028 Oct
- Dv 3K1–119 Oct
- D@ AFC Leopards0–014 Oct
- D@ Nairobi United1–12 Oct
- L@ GOR Mahia0–111 Sep
- W@ KCB2–014 Jun
Tusker
last 6- L@ Mathare United1–229 Oct
- D@ Singida Black Stars1–125 Oct
- Lv Singida Black Stars0–118 Oct
- W@ Ulinzi Stars2–011 Oct
- Wv Mara Sugar3–12 Oct
- Wv Al Ahli Wad Medani1–012 Sep
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 24 May 2026Bandari1–0Tusker
FKF Premier League table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  GOR Mahia | 6 | +4 | 13 |
| 2 |  KCB | 6 | +4 | 13 |
| 3 |  AFC Leopards | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 4 |  Kenya Police | 6 | +1 | 9 |
| 5 |  Shabana | 6 | +1 | 9 |
| 6 |  Mara Sugar | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 |  3K | 6 | -1 | 9 |
| 8 |  Murang'a SEAL | 6 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 |  Bandari | 6 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 |  Posta Rangers FC | 6 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 |  Tusker | 4 | +2 | 6 |
| 12 |  Migori Youth | 5 | +1 | 6 |
| 13 |  APS Bomet | 6 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 |  Ulinzi Stars | 6 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 |  Nairobi United | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| 16 |  Mathare United | 6 | -2 | 5 |
| 17 |  Homeboyz | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 |  Mombasa Elite | 6 | -7 | 1 |
More FKF Premier League predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Bandari vs Tusker?
The Mind pick is Under 2.5 goals with a Mind Score of 71, priced around 1.30 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Bandari or Tusker?
The model gives Bandari 33%, the draw 25% and Tusker 42%.
What is the likeliest score in Bandari vs Tusker?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Bandari 0–1 Tusker.
How many goals are expected in Bandari vs Tusker?
Around 1.9 in total – over 2.5 rates 29% and both teams to score 47%.
When does Bandari vs Tusker kick off?
Sunday 8 November 2026, 12:00 WAT – FKF Premier League.