GOR Mahia vs Nairobi United prediction: Over 1.5 goals
An open game on paper: 2.4 projected goals. Mind Score 67. Nairobi United's form is mixed (DLD, 0 W 2 D 1 L). The 1.38 price is thin on its own; it works best inside a combo.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
A modest home lean: GOR Mahia 58%, Nairobi United 21%, draw 21%. Table: GOR Mahia 1st (13 pts), Nairobi United 15th (5 pts).
Recent form
GOR Mahia – sample of six: W W L L W L, with three wins. Most recent: at Homeboyz, 1–0 (won). Goals for and against: 1.3 and 1.8 a game.
The last six for Nairobi United read L D D D D W (one win). Most recent: at Murang'a SEAL, 2–3 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.2 and 1.2 a game.
Head-to-head
Latest (May 2026): GOR Mahia 0–1 Nairobi United. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: GOR Mahia 1.6, Nairobi United 0.8 – 2.4 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 42%, BTTS 54%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 67, bookmaker price around 1.38 against a fair 1.48. Likeliest score: GOR Mahia 2–0 Nairobi United. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
GOR Mahia
last 6- W@ Homeboyz1–028 Oct
- Wv Murang'a SEAL4–213 Oct
- Lv KCB1–22 Oct
- L@ Pyramids FC1–513 Sep
- Wv Bandari1–011 Sep
- Lv Pyramids FC0–26 Sep
Nairobi United
last 6- L@ Murang'a SEAL2–328 Oct
- Dv APS Bomet1–125 Oct
- D@ Shabana0–018 Oct
- Dv KCB2–211 Oct
- Dv Bandari1–12 Oct
- W@ GOR Mahia1–031 May
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 31 May 2026GOR Mahia0–1Nairobi United
FKF Premier League table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  GOR Mahia | 6 | +4 | 13 |
| 2 |  KCB | 6 | +4 | 13 |
| 3 |  AFC Leopards | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 4 |  APS Bomet | 7 | +2 | 9 |
| 5 |  Kenya Police | 6 | +1 | 9 |
| 6 |  Shabana | 6 | +1 | 9 |
| 7 |  Mara Sugar | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 8 |  3K | 6 | -1 | 9 |
| 9 |  Murang'a SEAL | 6 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Migori Youth | 6 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 |  Bandari | 7 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 |  Ulinzi Stars | 7 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 |  Posta Rangers FC | 6 | -4 | 7 |
| 14 |  Tusker | 4 | +2 | 6 |
| 15 |  Nairobi United | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| 16 |  Mathare United | 6 | -2 | 5 |
| 17 |  Homeboyz | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 |  Mombasa Elite | 6 | -7 | 1 |
More FKF Premier League predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for GOR Mahia vs Nairobi United?
The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 67, priced around 1.38 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, GOR Mahia or Nairobi United?
The model gives GOR Mahia 58%, the draw 21% and Nairobi United 21%.
What is the likeliest score in GOR Mahia vs Nairobi United?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is GOR Mahia 2–0 Nairobi United.
How many goals are expected in GOR Mahia vs Nairobi United?
Around 2.4 in total – over 2.5 rates 42% and both teams to score 54%.
When does GOR Mahia vs Nairobi United kick off?
Sunday 8 November 2026, 14:15 WAT – FKF Premier League.