Homeboyz vs KCB prediction: Over 1.5 goals
An open game on paper: 2.2 projected goals. The line lands in 65% of the model's runs. The 1.41 price is thin on its own; it works best inside a combo.
Your call: who wins?
Fans' voteVote, then compare the crowd with the model. Closes at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
A near-even split in the model – home 35%, draw 27%, away 38%. Table: Homeboyz 17th (5 pts), KCB 2nd (13 pts).
Recent form
Homeboyz – sample of six: D L D W L D, with one win. Most recent: v Kenya Police, 2–2 (drawn). Output has stalled at 0.8 goals a game.
The last six for KCB read W W L W D W (four wins). Most recent: v APS Bomet, 1–0 (won). Goals for and against: 1.5 and 0.8 a game.
Head-to-head
Latest (Apr 2026): KCB 1–1 Homeboyz. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Homeboyz 1.1, KCB 1.1 – 2.2 in total. Goal lines sit close to even – over 2.5 39%, BTTS 55%.
The pick
Pick: Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 65, bookmaker price around 1.41 against a fair 1.54. Likeliest score: Homeboyz 1–2 KCB. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Homeboyz
last 6- Dv Kenya Police2–27 Nov
- Lv GOR Mahia0–128 Oct
- Dv Ulinzi Stars1–118 Oct
- W@ Mombasa Elite1–014 Oct
- L@ AFC Leopards0–22 Oct
- D@ Police1–131 May
KCB
last 6- Wv APS Bomet1–06 Nov
- Wv Mombasa Elite3–128 Oct
- L@ Posta Rangers FC0–123 Oct
- Wv Mathare United1–017 Oct
- D@ Nairobi United2–211 Oct
- W@ GOR Mahia2–12 Oct
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 26 Apr 2026KCB1–1Homeboyz
FKF Premier League table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  GOR Mahia | 6 | +4 | 13 |
| 2 |  KCB | 6 | +4 | 13 |
| 3 |  AFC Leopards | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 4 |  APS Bomet | 7 | +2 | 9 |
| 5 |  Kenya Police | 6 | +1 | 9 |
| 6 |  Shabana | 6 | +1 | 9 |
| 7 |  Mara Sugar | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 8 |  3K | 6 | -1 | 9 |
| 9 |  Murang'a SEAL | 6 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Migori Youth | 6 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 |  Bandari | 7 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 |  Ulinzi Stars | 7 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 |  Posta Rangers FC | 6 | -4 | 7 |
| 14 |  Tusker | 4 | +2 | 6 |
| 15 |  Nairobi United | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| 16 |  Mathare United | 6 | -2 | 5 |
| 17 |  Homeboyz | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 |  Mombasa Elite | 6 | -7 | 1 |
More FKF Premier League predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Homeboyz vs KCB?
The Mind pick is Over 1.5 goals with a Mind Score of 65, priced around 1.41 by the bookmakers.
Who is favourite, Homeboyz or KCB?
The model gives Homeboyz 35%, the draw 27% and KCB 38%.
What is the likeliest score in Homeboyz vs KCB?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Homeboyz 1–2 KCB.
How many goals are expected in Homeboyz vs KCB?
Around 2.2 in total – over 2.5 rates 39% and both teams to score 55%.
When does Homeboyz vs KCB kick off?
Sunday 15 November 2026, 13:00 WAT – FKF Premier League.